Thu, Oct 23 2025 • 03:00 • Estadio Caliente
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.56 (league 1.54) 2.05 (league 1.19)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
29.0% 21.3% 47.4%
best score tips
1 - 2
8.9%
1 - 1
8.7%
2 - 2
6.9%
Score & goals probability table
Toluca
0 1 2 3 4 5
Club Tijuana 0 2.7% 5.5% 5.7% 3.9% 2.0% 0.8%
1 4.2% 8.7% 8.9% 6.1% 3.1% 1.3%
2 3.3% 6.7% 6.9% 4.7% 2.4% 1.0%
3 1.7% 3.5% 3.6% 2.5% 1.3% 0.5%
4 0.7% 1.4% 1.4% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2%
5 0.2% 0.4% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricClub TijuanaToluca
Played55
Form47%100%
Attack75%100%
Defense56%69%
Goals For (tot | avg)12 | 2.420 | 4
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.45 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

5.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

73%
FT probability

3.5+

52%
FT probability

BTTS

76%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Club Tijuana Toluca
HATHAT
Played76137613
Wins57%17%38%71%83%77%
Draws43%33%38%14%0%8%
Loses0%50%23%14%17%15%

Form: Club Tijuana: WLDDWDWDWLWDL • Toluca: WWLWDLWWWWWWW

League goals

Metric Club Tijuana Toluca
HATHAT
GF total17926231639
GF avg2.41.52.03.32.73.0
GA total6111710616
GA avg0.91.81.31.41.01.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineClub TijuanaToluca
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.592%62%92%77%
1.562%38%85%31%
2.531%23%77%8%
3.58%8%31%8%
4.58%0%8%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricClub TijuanaToluca
HATHAT
Clean sheets415123
Failed to score011011

Penalties

MetricClub TijuanaToluca
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total32

Streaks

MetricClub TijuanaToluca
Wins12
Draws21
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-00-26-20-3
Biggest losses3-13-41-0
Goals For5364
Goals Against3442

Model comparison

MetricClub TijuanaToluca
Form32%68%
Att38%63%
Def42%58%
Poisson Distribution45%55%
H2h29%71%
Goals33%67%
Total36.5%63.7%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Toluca and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.50 @ Dafabet
Draw4.00 @ Unibet
Away2.27 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.49 @ Bwin
Under 2.52.93 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.47 @ Bwin
No3.08 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Club Tijuana = 1.56 (league 1.54), Toluca = 2.05 (league 1.19)

Toluca
0 1 2 3 4 5
Club Tijuana 0 2.7% 5.5% 5.7% 3.9% 2.0% 0.8%
1 4.2% 8.7% 8.9% 6.1% 3.1% 1.3%
2 3.3% 6.7% 6.9% 4.7% 2.4% 1.0%
3 1.7% 3.5% 3.6% 2.5% 1.3% 0.5%
4 0.7% 1.4% 1.4% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2%
5 0.2% 0.4% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 29.0% · Draw 21.3% · Away win 47.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1