Liga MX — Mexico
Sun, Oct 26 2025 • 00:00 • Estadio León
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.70 (league 1.56) 1.87 (league 1.20)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
34.8% 21.9% 41.2%
best score tips
1 - 1
8.9%
1 - 2
8.4%
2 - 1
7.6%
Score & goals probability table
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
0 1 2 3 4 5
Leon 0 2.8% 5.3% 4.9% 3.1% 1.4% 0.5%
1 4.8% 8.9% 8.4% 5.2% 2.4% 0.9%
2 4.1% 7.6% 7.1% 4.4% 2.1% 0.8%
3 2.3% 4.3% 4.0% 2.5% 1.2% 0.4%
4 1.0% 1.8% 1.7% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2%
5 0.3% 0.6% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLeonU.N.A.M. - Pumas
Played55
Form7%7%
Attack27%27%
Defense20%27%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.84 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)12 | 2.411 | 2.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

84%
FT probability

2.5+

59%
FT probability

3.5+

42%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Leon U.N.A.M. - Pumas
HATHAT
Played77147714
Wins29%14%21%14%29%21%
Draws29%14%21%43%29%36%
Loses43%71%57%43%43%43%

Form: Leon: LWLLWDWDLDLLLL • U.N.A.M. - Pumas: LLWDDDWWDLLLDL

League goals

Metric Leon U.N.A.M. - Pumas
HATHAT
GF total1021261016
GF avg1.40.30.90.91.41.1
GA total11152681321
GA avg1.62.11.91.11.91.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLeonU.N.A.M. - Pumas
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.557%71%79%79%
1.521%57%21%36%
2.57%29%7%29%
3.50%21%7%7%
4.50%7%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLeonU.N.A.M. - Pumas
HATHAT
Clean sheets224213
Failed to score156213

Penalties

MetricLeonU.N.A.M. - Pumas
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%2 | 66.67%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 33.33%
Total43

Streaks

MetricLeonU.N.A.M. - Pumas
Wins12
Draws13
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-11-01-4
Biggest losses2-45-02-34-1
Goals For3124
Goals Against4534

Model comparison

MetricLeonU.N.A.M. - Pumas
Form50%50%
Att50%50%
Def48%52%
Poisson Distribution47%53%
H2h7%93%
Goals25%75%
Total37.8%62.2%

Advice: Double chance : draw or U.N.A.M. - Pumas

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.40 @ 1xBet
Draw3.70 @ Dafabet
Away2.75 @ Superbet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.93 @ 1xBet
Under 2.52.08 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.70 @ Pinnacle
No2.25 @ Superbet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Leon = 1.70 (league 1.56), U.N.A.M. - Pumas = 1.87 (league 1.20)

U.N.A.M. - Pumas
0 1 2 3 4 5
Leon 0 2.8% 5.3% 4.9% 3.1% 1.4% 0.5%
1 4.8% 8.9% 8.4% 5.2% 2.4% 0.9%
2 4.1% 7.6% 7.1% 4.4% 2.1% 0.8%
3 2.3% 4.3% 4.0% 2.5% 1.2% 0.4%
4 1.0% 1.8% 1.7% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2%
5 0.3% 0.6% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 34.8% · Draw 21.9% · Away win 41.2%

Vtot 3 , Vtod2