Liga MX — Mexico
Sun, Oct 26 2025 • 00:07 • Estadio AKRON
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.04 (league 1.57) 1.51 (league 1.16)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
48.1% 21.4% 28.3%
best score tips
2 - 1
9.0%
1 - 1
8.9%
2 - 2
6.8%
Score & goals probability table
Atlas
0 1 2 3 4 5
Guadalajara Chivas 0 2.9% 4.4% 3.3% 1.7% 0.6% 0.2%
1 5.9% 8.9% 6.7% 3.4% 1.3% 0.4%
2 6.0% 9.0% 6.8% 3.4% 1.3% 0.4%
3 4.0% 6.1% 4.6% 2.3% 0.9% 0.3%
4 2.1% 3.1% 2.4% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%
5 0.8% 1.3% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricGuadalajara ChivasAtlas
Played55
Form80%60%
Attack60%53%
Defense80%53%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.88 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.67 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

91%
FT probability

2.5+

64%
FT probability

3.5+

46%
FT probability

BTTS

74%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Guadalajara Chivas Atlas
HATHAT
Played77147714
Wins43%43%43%43%14%29%
Draws14%14%14%29%29%29%
Loses43%43%43%29%57%43%

Form: Guadalajara Chivas: LWLLDLWDLWWWWL • Atlas: WDLLDLLDDLWWLW

League goals

Metric Guadalajara Chivas Atlas
HATHAT
GF total1192015823
GF avg1.61.31.42.11.11.6
GA total11819151429
GA avg1.61.11.42.12.02.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineGuadalajara ChivasAtlas
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.564%79%71%93%
1.550%36%57%71%
2.521%21%36%36%
3.57%0%0%7%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricGuadalajara ChivasAtlas
HATHAT
Clean sheets213101
Failed to score235134

Penalties

MetricGuadalajara ChivasAtlas
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%5 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total15

Streaks

MetricGuadalajara ChivasAtlas
Wins42
Draws12
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-23-12-3
Biggest losses0-31-00-33-1
Goals For4333
Goals Against3343

Model comparison

MetricGuadalajara ChivasAtlas
Form57%43%
Att53%47%
Def70%30%
Poisson Distribution57%43%
H2h38%62%
Goals45%55%
Total53.3%46.7%

Advice: Double chance : Guadalajara Chivas or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.57 @ Betano
Draw5.00 @ Dafabet
Away6.80 @ Dafabet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.93 @ 1xBet
Under 2.52.22 @ Superbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.97 @ 1xBet
No2.00 @ Superbet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Guadalajara Chivas = 2.04 (league 1.57), Atlas = 1.51 (league 1.16)

Atlas
0 1 2 3 4 5
Guadalajara Chivas 0 2.9% 4.4% 3.3% 1.7% 0.6% 0.2%
1 5.9% 8.9% 6.7% 3.4% 1.3% 0.4%
2 6.0% 9.0% 6.8% 3.4% 1.3% 0.4%
3 4.0% 6.1% 4.6% 2.3% 0.9% 0.3%
4 2.1% 3.1% 2.4% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%
5 0.8% 1.3% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 48.1% · Draw 21.4% · Away win 28.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1