Liga MX — Mexico
Mon, Oct 27 2025 • 01:00 • Estadio Alfonso Lastras Ramírez
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.53 (league 1.57) 1.24 (league 1.16)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
43.6% 25.2% 30.6%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.9%
1 - 0
9.6%
2 - 1
9.1%
Score & goals probability table
Necaxa
0 1 2 3 4 5
Atletico San Luis 0 6.3% 7.8% 4.8% 2.0% 0.6% 0.2%
1 9.6% 11.9% 7.4% 3.0% 0.9% 0.2%
2 7.4% 9.1% 5.6% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2%
3 3.8% 4.6% 2.9% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%
4 1.4% 1.8% 1.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAtletico San LuisNecaxa
Played55
Form40%7%
Attack33%47%
Defense67%13%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 17 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 113 | 2.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

86%
FT probability

2.5+

60%
FT probability

3.5+

43%
FT probability

BTTS

76%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Atletico San Luis Necaxa
HATHAT
Played68147714
Wins17%50%36%29%0%14%
Draws17%0%7%43%14%29%
Loses67%50%57%29%86%57%

Form: Atletico San Luis: WLLLWLLDWLLLWW • Necaxa: LWDDLLLDWLLLLD

League goals

Metric Atletico San Luis Necaxa
HATHAT
GF total515207815
GF avg0.81.91.41.01.11.1
GA total8122062127
GA avg1.31.51.40.93.01.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAtletico San LuisNecaxa
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.586%71%71%93%
1.536%43%21%43%
2.514%21%14%43%
3.57%7%0%7%
4.50%0%0%7%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAtletico San LuisNecaxa
HATHAT
Clean sheets134101
Failed to score202224

Penalties

MetricAtletico San LuisNecaxa
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total41

Streaks

MetricAtletico San LuisNecaxa
Wins11
Draws12
Losses34

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-43-1—
Biggest losses1-34-30-13-0
Goals For2433
Goals Against3415

Model comparison

MetricAtletico San LuisNecaxa
Form86%14%
Att42%58%
Def72%28%
Poisson Distribution55%45%
H2h38%62%
Goals47%53%
Total56.7%43.3%

Advice: Double chance : Atletico San Luis or draw

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.37 @ Dafabet
Draw3.70 @ Dafabet
Away3.10 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.68 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.35 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.55 @ Pinnacle
No2.54 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Atletico San Luis = 1.53 (league 1.57), Necaxa = 1.24 (league 1.16)

Necaxa
0 1 2 3 4 5
Atletico San Luis 0 6.3% 7.8% 4.8% 2.0% 0.6% 0.2%
1 9.6% 11.9% 7.4% 3.0% 0.9% 0.2%
2 7.4% 9.1% 5.6% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2%
3 3.8% 4.6% 2.9% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%
4 1.4% 1.8% 1.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 43.6% · Draw 25.2% · Away win 30.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1