Liga MX — Mexico
Sat, Nov 1 2025 • 01:00 • Estadio Victoria
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.27 (league 1.57) 0.77 (league 1.16)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
48.0% 29.1% 22.6%
best score tips
1 - 0
16.5%
0 - 0
12.9%
1 - 1
12.7%
Score & goals probability table
Santos Laguna
0 1 2 3 4 5
Necaxa 0 12.9% 10.0% 3.9% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
1 16.5% 12.7% 4.9% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0%
2 10.5% 8.1% 3.1% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
3 4.4% 3.4% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.4% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNecaxaSantos Laguna
Played55
Form27%47%
Attack45%32%
Defense41%68%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 27 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)13 | 2.67 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

79%
FT probability

2.5+

56%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

74%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Necaxa Santos Laguna
HATHAT
Played78158715
Wins29%13%20%63%0%33%
Draws43%13%27%0%29%13%
Loses29%75%53%38%71%53%

Form: Necaxa: LWDDLLLDWLLLLDW • Santos Laguna: WLLWLLLDLWLLWDW

League goals

Metric Necaxa Santos Laguna
HATHAT
GF total7121913720
GF avg1.01.51.31.61.01.3
GA total62430101424
GA avg0.93.02.01.32.01.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNecaxaSantos Laguna
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.573%93%73%73%
1.527%47%47%47%
2.520%47%13%27%
3.57%7%0%13%
4.50%7%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNecaxaSantos Laguna
HATHAT
Clean sheets101404
Failed to score224134

Penalties

MetricNecaxaSantos Laguna
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricNecaxaSantos Laguna
Wins11
Draws21
Losses43

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-13-43-0—
Biggest losses0-13-01-43-0
Goals For3432
Goals Against1543

Model comparison

MetricNecaxaSantos Laguna
Form36%64%
Att59%41%
Def35%65%
Poisson Distribution64%36%
H2h71%29%
Goals63%37%
Total54.7%45.3%

Advice: Double chance : Necaxa or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.60 @ Betano
Draw4.75 @ Unibet
Away5.75 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.44 @ Betano
Under 2.53.00 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.55 @ 188Bet
No2.64 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Necaxa = 1.27 (league 1.57), Santos Laguna = 0.77 (league 1.16)

Santos Laguna
0 1 2 3 4 5
Necaxa 0 12.9% 10.0% 3.9% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
1 16.5% 12.7% 4.9% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0%
2 10.5% 8.1% 3.1% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
3 4.4% 3.4% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.4% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 48.0% · Draw 29.1% · Away win 22.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1