Liga MX — Mexico
Sun, Nov 2 2025 • 03:10 • Estadio Ciudad de los Deportes
Match Finished
Expected Goals
3.07 (league 1.57) 0.18 (league 1.16)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
83.5% 6.3% 1.0%
best score tips
3 - 0
18.7%
2 - 0
18.2%
4 - 0
14.4%
Score & goals probability table
Leon
0 1 2 3 4 5
Club America 0 3.9% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 11.9% 2.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 18.2% 3.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 18.7% 3.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 14.4% 2.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 8.8% 1.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricClub AmericaLeon
Played55
Form67%7%
Attack67%17%
Defense67%39%
Goals For (tot | avg)12 | 2.43 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.211 | 2.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

81%
FT probability

2.5+

57%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Club America Leon
HATHAT
Played78158715
Wins86%38%60%25%14%20%
Draws0%50%27%38%14%27%
Loses14%13%13%38%71%53%

Form: Club America: DWDWWWWLDWWWLWD • Leon: LWLLWDWDLDLLLLD

League goals

Metric Club America Leon
HATHAT
GF total16153111213
GF avg2.31.92.11.40.30.9
GA total51116121527
GA avg0.71.41.11.52.11.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineClub AmericaLeon
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%73%60%73%
1.560%33%20%53%
2.533%0%7%27%
3.513%0%0%20%
4.50%0%0%7%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricClub AmericaLeon
HATHAT
Clean sheets314224
Failed to score000156

Penalties

MetricClub AmericaLeon
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total44

Streaks

MetricClub AmericaLeon
Wins41
Draws11
Losses14

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-12-43-00-1
Biggest losses1-22-12-45-0
Goals For4431
Goals Against2245

Model comparison

MetricClub AmericaLeon
Form91%9%
Att80%20%
Def65%35%
Poisson Distribution95%5%
H2h75%25%
Goals64%36%
Total78.3%21.7%

Advice: Winner : Club America

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.34 @ Pinnacle
Draw5.61 @ Pinnacle
Away9.00 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.92 @ Pinnacle
No2.04 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.58 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.48 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Club America = 3.07 (league 1.57), Leon = 0.18 (league 1.16)

Leon
0 1 2 3 4 5
Club America 0 3.9% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 11.9% 2.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 18.2% 3.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 18.7% 3.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 14.4% 2.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 8.8% 1.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 83.5% · Draw 6.3% · Away win 1.0%

Vtot 2 , Vtod2