Sat, Nov 8 2025 • 03:00 • Estadio El Encanto
Match Finished
Expected Goals
3.44 (league 1.57) 2.46 (league 1.16)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
44.4% 15.4% 23.3%
best score tips
3 - 2
5.6%
2 - 2
4.9%
4 - 2
4.8%
Score & goals probability table
Necaxa
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mazatlán 0 0.3% 0.7% 0.8% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2%
1 0.9% 2.3% 2.9% 2.3% 1.4% 0.7%
2 1.6% 4.0% 4.9% 4.0% 2.5% 1.2%
3 1.9% 4.6% 5.6% 4.6% 2.8% 1.4%
4 1.6% 3.9% 4.8% 4.0% 2.4% 1.2%
5 1.1% 2.7% 3.3% 2.7% 1.7% 0.8%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMazatlánNecaxa
Played55
Form33%47%
Attack55%100%
Defense27%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.212 | 2.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.611 | 2.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

73%
FT probability

3.5+

52%
FT probability

BTTS

85%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Mazatlán Necaxa
HATHAT
Played88168816
Wins25%0%13%38%13%25%
Draws63%25%44%38%13%25%
Loses13%75%44%25%75%50%

Form: Mazatlán: DWLDLDLLDDLWLDDL • Necaxa: LWDDLLLDWLLLLDWW

League goals

Metric Mazatlán Necaxa
HATHAT
GF total14519111223
GF avg1.80.61.21.41.51.4
GA total15132872431
GA avg1.91.61.80.93.01.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMazatlánNecaxa
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.569%94%75%94%
1.550%56%31%44%
2.50%19%25%44%
3.50%6%13%6%
4.50%0%0%6%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMazatlánNecaxa
HATHAT
Clean sheets011101
Failed to score055224

Penalties

MetricMazatlánNecaxa
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricMazatlánNecaxa
Wins11
Draws22
Losses24

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-14-13-4
Biggest losses1-43-10-13-0
Goals For2244
Goals Against4315

Model comparison

MetricMazatlánNecaxa
Form42%58%
Att33%67%
Def58%42%
Poisson Distribution58%42%
H2h29%71%
Goals25%75%
Total40.8%59.2%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Necaxa and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.20 @ 10Bet
Draw3.75 @ 188Bet
Away2.21 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.65 @ Unibet
Under 2.52.40 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.54 @ Unibet
No2.61 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Mazatlán = 3.44 (league 1.57), Necaxa = 2.46 (league 1.16)

Necaxa
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mazatlán 0 0.3% 0.7% 0.8% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2%
1 0.9% 2.3% 2.9% 2.3% 1.4% 0.7%
2 1.6% 4.0% 4.9% 4.0% 2.5% 1.2%
3 1.9% 4.6% 5.6% 4.6% 2.8% 1.4%
4 1.6% 3.9% 4.8% 4.0% 2.4% 1.2%
5 1.1% 2.7% 3.3% 2.7% 1.7% 0.8%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 44.4% · Draw 15.4% · Away win 23.3%

Vtot 4 , Vtod1