Liga MX — Mexico
Sun, Nov 9 2025 • 01:00 • Estadio León
Match Finished
1 - 2
Expected Goals
2.54 (league 1.54) 1.27 (league 1.18)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
60.4% 17.7% 17.3%
best score tips
2 - 1
9.1%
3 - 1
7.7%
1 - 1
7.2%
Score & goals probability table
Puebla
0 1 2 3 4 5
Leon 0 2.2% 2.8% 1.8% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1%
1 5.6% 7.2% 4.5% 1.9% 0.6% 0.2%
2 7.1% 9.1% 5.8% 2.4% 0.8% 0.2%
3 6.0% 7.7% 4.9% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2%
4 3.8% 4.9% 3.1% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
5 1.9% 2.5% 1.6% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLeonPuebla
Played55
Form7%27%
Attack18%59%
Defense35%12%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.610 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)11 | 2.215 | 3

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

94%
FT probability

2.5+

66%
FT probability

3.5+

47%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Leon Puebla
HATHAT
Played88168816
Wins25%13%19%25%0%13%
Draws38%13%25%13%25%19%
Loses38%75%56%63%75%69%

Form: Leon: LWLLWDWDLDLLLLDL • Puebla: LLWLLDLLLDLLWLDL

League goals

Metric Leon Puebla
HATHAT
GF total1121311819
GF avg1.40.30.81.41.01.2
GA total121729192241
GA avg1.52.11.82.42.82.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLeonPuebla
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.556%75%63%88%
1.519%56%31%81%
2.56%25%13%50%
3.50%19%13%19%
4.50%6%0%6%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLeonPuebla
HATHAT
Clean sheets224112
Failed to score167336

Penalties

MetricLeonPuebla
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%1 | 50.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 50.00%
Total42

Streaks

MetricLeonPuebla
Wins11
Draws11
Losses43

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-14-3—
Biggest losses2-45-00-37-0
Goals For3144
Goals Against4547

Model comparison

MetricLeonPuebla
Form20%80%
Att23%77%
Def58%42%
Poisson Distribution65%35%
H2h71%29%
Goals58%42%
Total49.2%50.8%

Advice: Double chance : Leon or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.95 @ Superbet
Draw4.03 @ 1xBet
Away4.30 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.70 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.29 @ SBO

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.68 @ 188Bet
No2.34 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Leon = 2.54 (league 1.54), Puebla = 1.27 (league 1.18)

Puebla
0 1 2 3 4 5
Leon 0 2.2% 2.8% 1.8% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1%
1 5.6% 7.2% 4.5% 1.9% 0.6% 0.2%
2 7.1% 9.1% 5.8% 2.4% 0.8% 0.2%
3 6.0% 7.7% 4.9% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2%
4 3.8% 4.9% 3.1% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
5 1.9% 2.5% 1.6% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 60.4% · Draw 17.7% · Away win 17.3%

vtt 3 , vtd1