Football League - Highland League — Scotland
Sat, Sep 20 2025 • 14:00 • Harlaw Park
Match Finished

Inverurie Loco Works

1 - 0

Keith

Expected Goals
1.28 (league 1.88) 2.54 (league 1.38)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
17.3% 17.7% 60.3%
best score tips
1 - 2
9.1%
1 - 3
7.7%
1 - 1
7.1%
Score & goals probability table
Keith
0 1 2 3 4 5
Inverurie Loco Works 0 2.2% 5.6% 7.1% 6.0% 3.8% 1.9%
1 2.8% 7.1% 9.1% 7.7% 4.9% 2.5%
2 1.8% 4.5% 5.8% 4.9% 3.1% 1.6%
3 0.8% 1.9% 2.5% 2.1% 1.3% 0.7%
4 0.2% 0.6% 0.8% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricInverurie Loco WorksKeith
Played55
Form47%33%
Attack57%36%
Defense57%29%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.65 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.210 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

67%
FT probability

3.5+

48%
FT probability

BTTS

77%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Inverurie Loco Works Keith
HATHAT
Played65116511
Wins17%20%18%17%0%9%
Draws17%20%18%0%60%27%
Loses67%60%64%83%40%64%

Form: Inverurie Loco Works: LLLLLDWDLLW • Keith: LLDLLLDWLDL

League goals

Metric Inverurie Loco Works Keith
HATHAT
GF total7411279
GF avg1.20.81.00.31.40.8
GA total15823161026
GA avg2.51.62.12.72.02.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineInverurie Loco WorksKeith
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.555%82%55%91%
1.527%64%27%73%
2.59%36%0%36%
3.59%18%0%18%
4.50%9%0%18%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricInverurie Loco WorksKeith
HATHAT
Clean sheets112101
Failed to score235505

Penalties

MetricInverurie Loco WorksKeith
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricInverurie Loco WorksKeith
Wins11
Draws11
Losses53

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-22-0—
Biggest losses0-53-00-53-1
Goals For4222
Goals Against5353

Model comparison

MetricInverurie Loco WorksKeith
Form58%42%
Att62%38%
Def63%38%
Poisson Distribution38%62%
H2h80%20%
Goals67%33%
Total61.3%38.8%

Advice: Double chance : Inverurie Loco Works or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.40 @ Pinnacle
Draw4.85 @ Marathonbet
Away6.73 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.44 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.58 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.61 @ Marathonbet
No2.16 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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League page • Country page • Venue page • Inverurie Loco Works vs Keith

Expected goals (λ): Inverurie Loco Works = 1.28 (league 1.88), Keith = 2.54 (league 1.38)

Keith
0 1 2 3 4 5
Inverurie Loco Works 0 2.2% 5.6% 7.1% 6.0% 3.8% 1.9%
1 2.8% 7.1% 9.1% 7.7% 4.9% 2.5%
2 1.8% 4.5% 5.8% 4.9% 3.1% 1.6%
3 0.8% 1.9% 2.5% 2.1% 1.3% 0.7%
4 0.2% 0.6% 0.8% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 17.3% · Draw 17.7% · Away win 60.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1