Sat, Oct 11 2025 • 14:00 •
Station Park
Expected Goals
2.30 (league 1.88)
0.52 (league 1.38)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 74.6% | 15.6% | 6.8% |
best score tips
2 - 0
15.7%
1 - 0
13.7%
3 - 0
12.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Keith | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Nairn County | 0 | 5.9% | 3.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 13.7% | 7.2% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 15.7% | 8.2% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 12.0% | 6.3% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 6.9% | 3.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Nairn County | Keith |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 80% | 27% |
| Attack | 100% | 44% |
| Defense | 11% | 0% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 12 | 2.4 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 10 | 2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.60
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.40
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
88%
FT probability
2.5+
62%
FT probability
3.5+
44%
FT probability
BTTS
71%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Nairn County | Keith | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 7 | 5 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 12 |
| Wins | 71% | 20% | 50% | 17% | 0% | 8% |
| Draws | 14% | 0% | 8% | 0% | 50% | 25% |
| Loses | 14% | 80% | 42% | 83% | 50% | 67% |
Form: Nairn County: LDWLLLWLWWWW • Keith: LLDLLLDWLDLL
League goals
| Metric | Nairn County | Keith | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 17 | 3 | 20 | 2 | 7 | 9 |
| GF avg | 2.4 | 0.6 | 1.7 | 0.3 | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| GA total | 4 | 14 | 18 | 16 | 11 | 27 |
| GA avg | 0.6 | 2.8 | 1.5 | 2.7 | 1.8 | 2.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Nairn County | Keith | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 75% | 58% | 50% | 92% |
| 1.5 | 42% | 33% | 25% | 67% |
| 2.5 | 33% | 25% | 0% | 33% |
| 3.5 | 17% | 8% | 0% | 17% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 8% | 0% | 17% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Nairn County | Keith | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 6 |
Penalties
| Metric | Nairn County | Keith |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Nairn County | Keith |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 3 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 1-2 | 2-0 | — |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | 7-0 | 0-5 | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 7 | 5 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Nairn County | Keith |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 75% | 25% |
| Att | 75% | 25% |
| Def | 56% | 44% |
| Poisson Distribution | 85% | 15% |
| H2h | 62% | 38% |
| Goals | 56% | 44% |
| Total | 68.2% | 31.8% |
Advice: Winner : Nairn County
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Nairn County = 2.30 (league 1.88), Keith = 0.52 (league 1.38)
| Keith | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Nairn County | 0 | 5.9% | 3.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 13.7% | 7.2% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 15.7% | 8.2% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 12.0% | 6.3% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 6.9% | 3.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 74.6% · Draw 15.6% · Away win 6.8%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1