1. Division — Denmark
Sat, Sep 20 2025 • 13:00 • Nordstern Arena Horsens
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.28 (league 1.53) 0.96 (league 1.26)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
43.7% 28.4% 27.7%
best score tips
1 - 0
13.7%
1 - 1
13.1%
0 - 0
10.7%
Score & goals probability table
Esbjerg
0 1 2 3 4 5
AC Horsens 0 10.7% 10.2% 4.9% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
1 13.7% 13.1% 6.2% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
2 8.8% 8.4% 4.0% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
3 3.7% 3.6% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.2% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAC HorsensEsbjerg
Played55
Form47%60%
Attack31%69%
Defense77%38%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.89 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.68 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

65%
FT probability

2.5+

46%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

56%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric AC Horsens Esbjerg
HATHAT
Played459549
Wins50%40%44%60%50%56%
Draws25%40%33%0%0%0%
Loses25%20%22%40%50%44%

Form: AC Horsens: DWDWWWDLL • Esbjerg: LWWLWWLWL

League goals

Metric AC Horsens Esbjerg
HATHAT
GF total5386612
GF avg1.30.60.91.21.51.3
GA total3147613
GA avg0.80.20.41.41.51.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAC HorsensEsbjerg
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.556%33%56%78%
1.533%11%33%56%
2.50%0%22%11%
3.50%0%11%0%
4.50%0%11%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAC HorsensEsbjerg
HATHAT
Clean sheets246112
Failed to score134224

Penalties

MetricAC HorsensEsbjerg
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricAC HorsensEsbjerg
Wins32
Draws10
Losses01

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-23-21-5
Biggest losses1-21-00-23-0
Goals For2235
Goals Against2123

Model comparison

MetricAC HorsensEsbjerg
Form44%56%
Att31%69%
Def73%27%
Poisson Distribution62%38%
H2h93%7%
Goals70%30%
Total62.2%37.8%

Advice: Double chance : AC Horsens or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.92 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.73 @ Pinnacle
Away3.82 @ Marathonbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.73 @ 188Bet
No2.14 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.84 @ 188Bet
Under 2.52.04 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): AC Horsens = 1.28 (league 1.53), Esbjerg = 0.96 (league 1.26)

Esbjerg
0 1 2 3 4 5
AC Horsens 0 10.7% 10.2% 4.9% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
1 13.7% 13.1% 6.2% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
2 8.8% 8.4% 4.0% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
3 3.7% 3.6% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.2% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 43.7% · Draw 28.4% · Away win 27.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1