1. Division — Denmark
Thu, Oct 2 2025 • 17:00 • Aalborg Portland Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
4.72 (league 1.53) 0.57 (league 1.26)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
62.2% 3.1% 1.1%
best score tips
4 - 0
10.4%
5 - 0
9.8%
3 - 0
8.8%
Score & goals probability table
HB Koge
0 1 2 3 4 5
Aalborg 0 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 2.4% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 5.6% 3.2% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 8.8% 5.0% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 10.4% 6.0% 1.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
5 9.8% 5.6% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAalborgHB Koge
Played55
Form60%20%
Attack100%31%
Defense46%8%
Goals For (tot | avg)13 | 2.64 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.412 | 2.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

93%
FT probability

2.5+

65%
FT probability

3.5+

46%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Aalborg HB Koge
HATHAT
Played56116511
Wins60%17%36%50%0%27%
Draws20%17%18%0%20%9%
Loses20%67%45%50%80%64%

Form: Aalborg: LDDWLLWLWWL • HB Koge: WWLLDLLLWLL

League goals

Metric Aalborg HB Koge
HATHAT
GF total126185611
GF avg2.41.01.60.81.21.0
GA total3111461521
GA avg0.61.81.31.03.01.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAalborgHB Koge
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.573%64%64%82%
1.545%36%36%64%
2.527%9%0%36%
3.518%9%0%9%
4.50%9%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAalborgHB Koge
HATHAT
Clean sheets314202
Failed to score123314

Penalties

MetricAalborgHB Koge
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricAalborgHB Koge
Wins22
Draws21
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-22-0—
Biggest losses0-25-10-24-0
Goals For4222
Goals Against2524

Model comparison

MetricAalborgHB Koge
Form75%25%
Att76%24%
Def63%37%
Poisson Distribution89%11%
H2h100%0%
Goals85%15%
Total77.6%22.4%

Advice: Combo Winner : Aalborg and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.50 @ 10Bet
Draw4.75 @ 188Bet
Away5.78 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.51 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.56 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.66 @ Pinnacle
No2.25 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Aalborg = 4.72 (league 1.53), HB Koge = 0.57 (league 1.26)

HB Koge
0 1 2 3 4 5
Aalborg 0 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 2.4% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 5.6% 3.2% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 8.8% 5.0% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 10.4% 6.0% 1.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
5 9.8% 5.6% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 62.2% · Draw 3.1% · Away win 1.1%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1