Sat, Oct 4 2025 • 12:00 • Middelfart Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.46 (league 1.53) 1.31 (league 1.28)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
40.3% 25.3% 33.8%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.0%
1 - 0
9.1%
2 - 1
8.7%
Score & goals probability table
Hillerød
0 1 2 3 4 5
Middelfart 0 6.2% 8.2% 5.4% 2.4% 0.8% 0.2%
1 9.1% 12.0% 7.9% 3.4% 1.1% 0.3%
2 6.7% 8.7% 5.7% 2.5% 0.8% 0.2%
3 3.2% 4.3% 2.8% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%
4 1.2% 1.6% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMiddelfartHillerød
Played55
Form33%67%
Attack28%50%
Defense50%72%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 19 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.85 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

79%
FT probability

2.5+

56%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Middelfart Hillerød
HATHAT
Played56116511
Wins20%0%9%67%40%55%
Draws60%33%45%17%20%18%
Loses20%67%45%17%40%27%

Form: Middelfart: LDLLDDDDLWL • Hillerød: WDWLLWWDWLW

League goals

Metric Middelfart Hillerød
HATHAT
GF total731012618
GF avg1.40.50.92.01.21.6
GA total711187815
GA avg1.41.81.61.21.61.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMiddelfartHillerød
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.555%82%82%82%
1.536%64%64%36%
2.50%9%18%18%
3.50%9%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMiddelfartHillerød
HATHAT
Clean sheets112112
Failed to score145112

Penalties

MetricMiddelfartHillerød
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricMiddelfartHillerød
Wins12
Draws41
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-03-01-2
Biggest losses0-14-00-23-1
Goals For2232
Goals Against2423

Model comparison

MetricMiddelfartHillerød
Form33%67%
Att36%64%
Def36%64%
Poisson Distribution52%48%
H2h15%85%
Goals33%67%
Total34.2%65.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Hillerød

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.58 @ Marathonbet
Draw3.94 @ Pinnacle
Away2.00 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.90 @ 188Bet
Under 2.51.98 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.79 @ Pinnacle
No2.10 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Middelfart = 1.46 (league 1.53), Hillerød = 1.31 (league 1.28)

Hillerød
0 1 2 3 4 5
Middelfart 0 6.2% 8.2% 5.4% 2.4% 0.8% 0.2%
1 9.1% 12.0% 7.9% 3.4% 1.1% 0.3%
2 6.7% 8.7% 5.7% 2.5% 0.8% 0.2%
3 3.2% 4.3% 2.8% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%
4 1.2% 1.6% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 40.3% · Draw 25.3% · Away win 33.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1