1. Division — Denmark
Sat, Oct 25 2025 • 12:00 • Riisvangen
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.25 (league 1.53) 1.22 (league 1.28)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
57.9% 19.7% 19.6%
best score tips
2 - 1
9.6%
1 - 1
8.6%
2 - 0
7.9%
Score & goals probability table
Esbjerg
0 1 2 3 4 5
Aarhus Fremad 0 3.1% 3.8% 2.3% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
1 7.0% 8.6% 5.2% 2.1% 0.6% 0.2%
2 7.9% 9.6% 5.9% 2.4% 0.7% 0.2%
3 5.9% 7.2% 4.4% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
4 3.3% 4.0% 2.5% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
5 1.5% 1.8% 1.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAarhus FremadEsbjerg
Played55
Form53%13%
Attack73%20%
Defense53%47%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.23 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.48 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

87%
FT probability

2.5+

61%
FT probability

3.5+

44%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Aarhus Fremad Esbjerg
HATHAT
Played67137613
Wins50%14%31%43%33%38%
Draws17%57%38%29%0%15%
Loses33%29%31%29%67%46%

Form: Aarhus Fremad: DLLWLDDWWWDLD • Esbjerg: LWWLWWLWLLDLD

League goals

Metric Aarhus Fremad Esbjerg
HATHAT
GF total1410248715
GF avg2.31.41.81.11.21.2
GA total811199918
GA avg1.31.61.51.31.51.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAarhus FremadEsbjerg
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.577%85%62%85%
1.554%54%23%46%
2.538%8%15%8%
3.58%0%8%0%
4.58%0%8%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAarhus FremadEsbjerg
HATHAT
Clean sheets112112
Failed to score123235

Penalties

MetricAarhus FremadEsbjerg
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricAarhus FremadEsbjerg
Wins32
Draws21
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-11-33-21-5
Biggest losses0-22-00-23-0
Goals For5335
Goals Against2323

Model comparison

MetricAarhus FremadEsbjerg
Form80%20%
Att79%21%
Def53%47%
Poisson Distribution65%35%
H2h62%38%
Goals53%47%
Total65.3%34.7%

Advice: Winner : Aarhus Fremad

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.96 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.85 @ 188Bet
Away3.65 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.67 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.30 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.61 @ 188Bet
No2.36 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Aarhus Fremad = 2.25 (league 1.53), Esbjerg = 1.22 (league 1.28)

Esbjerg
0 1 2 3 4 5
Aarhus Fremad 0 3.1% 3.8% 2.3% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
1 7.0% 8.6% 5.2% 2.1% 0.6% 0.2%
2 7.9% 9.6% 5.9% 2.4% 0.7% 0.2%
3 5.9% 7.2% 4.4% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
4 3.3% 4.0% 2.5% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
5 1.5% 1.8% 1.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 57.9% · Draw 19.7% · Away win 19.6%

Vtot 2 , Vtod1