1. Division — Denmark
Sat, Nov 1 2025 • 13:00 • Middelfart Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.39 (league 1.51) 1.46 (league 1.28)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
35.6% 25.0% 38.7%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.8%
1 - 2
8.6%
0 - 1
8.5%
Score & goals probability table
Aalborg
0 1 2 3 4 5
Middelfart 0 5.8% 8.5% 6.2% 3.0% 1.1% 0.3%
1 8.1% 11.8% 8.6% 4.2% 1.5% 0.4%
2 5.6% 8.2% 5.9% 2.9% 1.1% 0.3%
3 2.6% 3.8% 2.8% 1.3% 0.5% 0.1%
4 0.9% 1.3% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMiddelfartAalborg
Played55
Form20%67%
Attack13%73%
Defense53%53%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 0.411 | 2.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.47 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

82%
FT probability

2.5+

58%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Middelfart Aalborg
HATHAT
Played77147714
Wins14%0%7%71%14%43%
Draws43%29%36%14%29%21%
Loses43%71%57%14%57%36%

Form: Middelfart: LDLLDDDDLWLLLL • Aalborg: LDDWLLWLWWLWDW

League goals

Metric Middelfart Aalborg
HATHAT
GF total831117825
GF avg1.10.40.82.41.11.8
GA total12122461319
GA avg1.71.71.70.91.91.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMiddelfartAalborg
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%86%79%71%
1.529%64%57%43%
2.50%14%29%7%
3.50%7%14%7%
4.50%0%0%7%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMiddelfartAalborg
HATHAT
Clean sheets112314
Failed to score257123

Penalties

MetricMiddelfartAalborg
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricMiddelfartAalborg
Wins12
Draws42
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-0—4-00-2
Biggest losses0-34-00-25-1
Goals For2242
Goals Against3425

Model comparison

MetricMiddelfartAalborg
Form23%77%
Att15%85%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution48%52%
H2h0%100%
Goals11%89%
Total29.4%70.6%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Aalborg

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.26 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.90 @ 188Bet
Away1.83 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.72 @ Pinnacle
No2.15 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.80 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.08 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Middelfart = 1.39 (league 1.51), Aalborg = 1.46 (league 1.28)

Aalborg
0 1 2 3 4 5
Middelfart 0 5.8% 8.5% 6.2% 3.0% 1.1% 0.3%
1 8.1% 11.8% 8.6% 4.2% 1.5% 0.4%
2 5.6% 8.2% 5.9% 2.9% 1.1% 0.3%
3 2.6% 3.8% 2.8% 1.3% 0.5% 0.1%
4 0.9% 1.3% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 35.6% · Draw 25.0% · Away win 38.7%

Vtot 5 , Vtod1