1. Division — Denmark
Sat, Feb 28 2026 • 13:00 • Riisvangen
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.27 (league 1.51) 0.76 (league 1.26)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
68.7% 17.5% 10.9%
best score tips
2 - 0
12.4%
1 - 0
10.9%
2 - 1
9.5%
Score & goals probability table
Middelfart
0 1 2 3 4 5
Aarhus Fremad 0 4.8% 3.7% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 10.9% 8.3% 3.2% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
2 12.4% 9.5% 3.6% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 9.4% 7.2% 2.7% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
4 5.3% 4.1% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 2.4% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAarhus FremadMiddelfart
Played55
Form20%27%
Attack18%41%
Defense65%41%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.67 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.210 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

81%
FT probability

2.5+

57%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Aarhus Fremad Middelfart
HATHAT
Played99189918
Wins33%11%22%11%11%11%
Draws33%56%44%44%22%33%
Loses33%33%33%44%67%56%

Form: Aarhus Fremad: DLLWLDDWWWDLDLDLDD • Middelfart: LDLLDDDDLWLLLLLLDW

League goals

Metric Aarhus Fremad Middelfart
HATHAT
GF total16112711718
GF avg1.81.21.51.20.81.0
GA total111425161733
GA avg1.21.61.41.81.91.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAarhus FremadMiddelfart
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%83%61%89%
1.544%50%39%67%
2.528%6%0%17%
3.56%0%0%11%
4.56%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAarhus FremadMiddelfart
HATHAT
Clean sheets213112
Failed to score336257

Penalties

MetricAarhus FremadMiddelfart
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricAarhus FremadMiddelfart
Wins31
Draws24
Losses26

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-11-31-01-2
Biggest losses0-22-00-34-0
Goals For5322
Goals Against2334

Model comparison

MetricAarhus FremadMiddelfart
Form43%57%
Att30%70%
Def63%38%
Poisson Distribution76%24%
H2h25%75%
Goals36%64%
Total45.5%54.7%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Middelfart

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.62 @ 188Bet
Draw4.40 @ Pinnacle
Away5.77 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.73 @ 10Bet
Under 2.52.18 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.79 @ Pinnacle
No2.02 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Aarhus Fremad = 2.27 (league 1.51), Middelfart = 0.76 (league 1.26)

Middelfart
0 1 2 3 4 5
Aarhus Fremad 0 4.8% 3.7% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 10.9% 8.3% 3.2% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
2 12.4% 9.5% 3.6% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 9.4% 7.2% 2.7% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
4 5.3% 4.1% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 2.4% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 68.7% · Draw 17.5% · Away win 10.9%

vtt 3 , vtd1