1. Division — Denmark
Fri, Mar 6 2026 • 18:00 • Aalborg Portland Park
Not Started
Expected Goals
2.31 (league 1.52) 1.22 (league 1.28)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
58.8% 19.2% 18.8%
best score tips
2 - 1
9.5%
1 - 1
8.2%
2 - 0
7.8%
Score & goals probability table
Aarhus Fremad
0 1 2 3 4 5
Aalborg 0 2.9% 3.6% 2.2% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
1 6.8% 8.2% 5.0% 2.0% 0.6% 0.2%
2 7.8% 9.5% 5.8% 2.4% 0.7% 0.2%
3 6.0% 7.4% 4.5% 1.8% 0.6% 0.1%
4 3.5% 4.3% 2.6% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
5 1.6% 2.0% 1.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAalborgAarhus Fremad
Played55
Form40%40%
Attack35%35%
Defense55%70%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.47 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.86 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

89%
FT probability

2.5+

63%
FT probability

3.5+

45%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Aalborg Aarhus Fremad
HATHAT
Played9101910919
Wins56%20%37%40%11%26%
Draws22%40%32%30%56%42%
Loses22%40%32%30%33%32%

Form: Aalborg: LDDWLLWLWWLWDWWDLDD • Aarhus Fremad: DLLWLDDWWWDLDLDLDDW

League goals

Metric Aalborg Aarhus Fremad
HATHAT
GF total201232201131
GF avg2.21.21.72.01.21.6
GA total121628121426
GA avg1.31.61.51.21.61.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAalborgAarhus Fremad
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.574%74%68%84%
1.558%47%47%47%
2.526%16%32%5%
3.511%5%11%0%
4.50%5%5%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAalborgAarhus Fremad
HATHAT
Clean sheets325213
Failed to score235336

Penalties

MetricAalborgAarhus Fremad
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total22

Streaks

MetricAalborgAarhus Fremad
Wins23
Draws22
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-25-11-3
Biggest losses0-35-10-22-0
Goals For4253
Goals Against3523

Model comparison

MetricAalborgAarhus Fremad
Form50%50%
Att50%50%
Def40%60%
Poisson Distribution65%35%
H2h0%100%
Goals17%83%
Total44.4%55.6%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Aarhus Fremad

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.23 @ Unibet
Draw3.67 @ Pinnacle
Away3.15 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.84 @ 188Bet
Under 2.52.10 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.68 @ 188Bet
No2.25 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Aalborg = 2.31 (league 1.52), Aarhus Fremad = 1.22 (league 1.28)

Aarhus Fremad
0 1 2 3 4 5
Aalborg 0 2.9% 3.6% 2.2% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
1 6.8% 8.2% 5.0% 2.0% 0.6% 0.2%
2 7.8% 9.5% 5.8% 2.4% 0.7% 0.2%
3 6.0% 7.4% 4.5% 1.8% 0.6% 0.1%
4 3.5% 4.3% 2.6% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
5 1.6% 2.0% 1.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 58.8% · Draw 19.2% · Away win 18.8%

vtt 1 , vtd1