Sun, Sep 21 2025 • 18:00 • Hidegkuti Nándor Stadion
Match Finished
Expected Goals
3.13 (league 1.60) 4.27 (league 1.31)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
19.3% 12.9% 34.9%
best score tips
3 - 4
4.3%
2 - 4
4.2%
3 - 3
4.1%
Score & goals probability table
Zalaegerszegi TE
0 1 2 3 4 5
MTK Budapest 0 0.1% 0.3% 0.6% 0.8% 0.8% 0.7%
1 0.2% 0.8% 1.8% 2.5% 2.7% 2.3%
2 0.3% 1.3% 2.7% 3.9% 4.2% 3.5%
3 0.3% 1.3% 2.9% 4.1% 4.3% 3.7%
4 0.2% 1.0% 2.2% 3.2% 3.4% 2.9%
5 0.2% 0.7% 1.4% 2.0% 2.1% 1.8%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMTK BudapestZalaegerszegi TE
Played55
Form40%20%
Attack85%54%
Defense8%15%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.27 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)12 | 2.411 | 2.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

85%
FT probability

3.5+

63%
FT probability

BTTS

92%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric MTK Budapest Zalaegerszegi TE
HATHAT
Played426426
Wins25%50%33%0%0%0%
Draws25%0%17%50%100%67%
Loses50%50%50%50%0%33%

Form: MTK Budapest: DLWLLW • Zalaegerszegi TE: DDDDLL

League goals

Metric MTK Budapest Zalaegerszegi TE
HATHAT
GF total102126410
GF avg2.51.02.01.52.01.7
GA total1121310414
GA avg2.81.02.22.52.02.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMTK BudapestZalaegerszegi TE
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.583%83%100%100%
1.567%33%50%83%
2.517%33%17%33%
3.517%17%0%17%
4.517%17%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMTK BudapestZalaegerszegi TE
HATHAT
Clean sheets101000
Failed to score011000

Penalties

MetricMTK BudapestZalaegerszegi TE
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total23

Streaks

MetricMTK BudapestZalaegerszegi TE
Wins10
Draws14
Losses20

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-01-2
Biggest losses2-71-01-4
Goals For5232
Goals Against7142

Model comparison

MetricMTK BudapestZalaegerszegi TE
Form67%33%
Att61%39%
Def48%52%
Poisson Distribution53%47%
H2h75%25%
Goals64%36%
Total61.3%38.7%

Advice: Combo Double chance : MTK Budapest or draw and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.05 @ 10Bet
Draw3.95 @ Unibet
Away3.35 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.60 @ 888Sport
Under 2.52.45 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.55 @ 188Bet
No2.57 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): MTK Budapest = 3.13 (league 1.60), Zalaegerszegi TE = 4.27 (league 1.31)

Zalaegerszegi TE
0 1 2 3 4 5
MTK Budapest 0 0.1% 0.3% 0.6% 0.8% 0.8% 0.7%
1 0.2% 0.8% 1.8% 2.5% 2.7% 2.3%
2 0.3% 1.3% 2.7% 3.9% 4.2% 3.5%
3 0.3% 1.3% 2.9% 4.1% 4.3% 3.7%
4 0.2% 1.0% 2.2% 3.2% 3.4% 2.9%
5 0.2% 0.7% 1.4% 2.0% 2.1% 1.8%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 19.3% · Draw 12.9% · Away win 34.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1