Sun, Oct 5 2025 • 14:30 • Groupama Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.63 (league 1.60) 2.77 (league 1.31)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
20.4% 17.2% 55.5%
best score tips
1 - 2
7.7%
1 - 3
7.1%
2 - 2
6.2%
Score & goals probability table
Paks
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ferencvarosi TC 0 1.2% 3.4% 4.7% 4.4% 3.0% 1.7%
1 2.0% 5.5% 7.7% 7.1% 4.9% 2.7%
2 1.6% 4.5% 6.2% 5.8% 4.0% 2.2%
3 0.9% 2.4% 3.4% 3.1% 2.2% 1.2%
4 0.4% 1.0% 1.4% 1.3% 0.9% 0.5%
5 0.1% 0.3% 0.4% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFerencvarosi TCPaks
Played55
Form67%73%
Attack100%100%
Defense58%42%
Goals For (tot | avg)12 | 2.412 | 2.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 17 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

5.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

75%
FT probability

3.5+

53%
FT probability

BTTS

86%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Ferencvarosi TC Paks
HATHAT
Played347448
Wins33%75%57%50%75%63%
Draws33%25%29%50%25%38%
Loses33%0%14%0%0%0%

Form: Ferencvarosi TC: DWWLWDW • Paks: DWWDWWDW

League goals

Metric Ferencvarosi TC Paks
HATHAT
GF total61016111122
GF avg2.02.52.32.82.82.8
GA total4267512
GA avg1.30.50.91.81.31.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFerencvarosi TCPaks
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%57%100%88%
1.571%29%88%50%
2.543%0%63%13%
3.514%0%13%0%
4.50%0%13%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFerencvarosi TCPaks
HATHAT
Clean sheets123101
Failed to score000000

Penalties

MetricFerencvarosi TCPaks
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total24

Streaks

MetricFerencvarosi TCPaks
Wins22
Draws11
Losses10

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-43-01-5
Biggest losses1-2
Goals For3435
Goals Against2132

Model comparison

MetricFerencvarosi TCPaks
Form48%52%
Att50%50%
Def58%42%
Poisson Distribution41%59%
H2h29%71%
Goals33%67%
Total43.2%56.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Paks

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.63 @ Pinnacle
Draw4.61 @ Pinnacle
Away4.75 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.44 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.88 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.53 @ Bet365
No2.55 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Ferencvarosi TC = 1.63 (league 1.60), Paks = 2.77 (league 1.31)

Paks
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ferencvarosi TC 0 1.2% 3.4% 4.7% 4.4% 3.0% 1.7%
1 2.0% 5.5% 7.7% 7.1% 4.9% 2.7%
2 1.6% 4.5% 6.2% 5.8% 4.0% 2.2%
3 0.9% 2.4% 3.4% 3.1% 2.2% 1.2%
4 0.4% 1.0% 1.4% 1.3% 0.9% 0.5%
5 0.1% 0.3% 0.4% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 20.4% · Draw 17.2% · Away win 55.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1