Fri, Oct 3 2025 • 18:00 • Mezokovesdi Varosi Stadion
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.94 (league 1.60) 0.76 (league 1.31)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
38.0% 33.9% 28.1%
best score tips
0 - 0
18.3%
1 - 0
17.1%
0 - 1
13.9%
Score & goals probability table
MTK Budapest
0 1 2 3 4 5
Kazincbarcikai 0 18.3% 13.9% 5.3% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
1 17.1% 13.1% 5.0% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0%
2 8.0% 6.1% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 2.5% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricKazincbarcikaiMTK Budapest
Played55
Form27%60%
Attack31%69%
Defense25%31%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 111 | 2.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)12 | 2.411 | 2.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

82%
FT probability

2.5+

58%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Kazincbarcikai MTK Budapest
HATHAT
Played257628
Wins50%0%14%50%50%50%
Draws0%20%14%17%0%13%
Loses50%80%71%33%50%38%

Form: Kazincbarcikai: LLLDLWL • MTK Budapest: DLWLLWWW

League goals

Metric Kazincbarcikai MTK Budapest
HATHAT
GF total33615217
GF avg1.50.60.92.51.02.1
GA total2151711213
GA avg1.03.02.41.81.01.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineKazincbarcikaiMTK Budapest
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.557%86%88%63%
1.529%86%63%25%
2.50%43%25%25%
3.50%14%25%13%
4.50%14%13%13%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricKazincbarcikaiMTK Budapest
HATHAT
Clean sheets101303
Failed to score033011

Penalties

MetricKazincbarcikaiMTK Budapest
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total02

Streaks

MetricKazincbarcikaiMTK Budapest
Wins11
Draws11
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-05-01-2
Biggest losses1-25-02-71-0
Goals For2252
Goals Against2571

Model comparison

MetricKazincbarcikaiMTK Budapest
Form31%69%
Att31%69%
Def48%52%
Poisson Distribution62%38%
H2h29%71%
Goals35%65%
Total39.3%60.7%

Advice: Double chance : draw or MTK Budapest

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.75 @ Bet365
Draw3.75 @ Unibet
Away1.93 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.77 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.10 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.67 @ William Hill
No2.24 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Kazincbarcikai = 0.94 (league 1.60), MTK Budapest = 0.76 (league 1.31)

MTK Budapest
0 1 2 3 4 5
Kazincbarcikai 0 18.3% 13.9% 5.3% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
1 17.1% 13.1% 5.0% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0%
2 8.0% 6.1% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 2.5% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 38.0% · Draw 33.9% · Away win 28.1%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1