NB I — Hungary
Sat, Oct 25 2025 • 12:30 • Pancho Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.26 (league 1.62) 1.21 (league 1.32)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
37.5% 27.2% 35.0%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.9%
1 - 0
10.6%
0 - 1
10.2%
Score & goals probability table
MTK Budapest
0 1 2 3 4 5
Puskas Academy 0 8.4% 10.2% 6.2% 2.5% 0.8% 0.2%
1 10.6% 12.9% 7.8% 3.1% 1.0% 0.2%
2 6.7% 8.1% 4.9% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1%
3 2.8% 3.4% 2.1% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.9% 1.1% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPuskas AcademyMTK Budapest
Played55
Form33%80%
Attack40%100%
Defense40%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.813 | 2.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.25 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

88%
FT probability

2.5+

62%
FT probability

3.5+

44%
FT probability

BTTS

75%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Puskas Academy MTK Budapest
HATHAT
Played55107310
Wins40%40%40%57%33%50%
Draws20%20%20%14%0%10%
Loses40%40%40%29%67%40%

Form: Puskas Academy: WWLWLDLLDW • MTK Budapest: DLWLLWWWLW

League goals

Metric Puskas Academy MTK Budapest
HATHAT
GF total671320323
GF avg1.21.41.32.91.02.3
GA total871512517
GA avg1.61.41.51.71.71.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePuskas AcademyMTK Budapest
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.580%80%90%70%
1.540%50%60%30%
2.510%20%30%30%
3.50%0%30%10%
4.50%0%20%10%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPuskas AcademyMTK Budapest
HATHAT
Clean sheets112303
Failed to score202011

Penalties

MetricPuskas AcademyMTK Budapest
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricPuskas AcademyMTK Budapest
Wins23
Draws11
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-21-25-01-2
Biggest losses1-33-22-73-1
Goals For3252
Goals Against3373

Model comparison

MetricPuskas AcademyMTK Budapest
Form29%71%
Att24%76%
Def45%55%
Poisson Distribution54%46%
H2h93%7%
Goals80%20%
Total54.2%45.8%

Advice: Double chance : Puskas Academy or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.80 @ 10Bet
Draw4.20 @ Bet365
Away4.17 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.52 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.56 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.53 @ Bet365
No2.56 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Puskas Academy = 1.26 (league 1.62), MTK Budapest = 1.21 (league 1.32)

MTK Budapest
0 1 2 3 4 5
Puskas Academy 0 8.4% 10.2% 6.2% 2.5% 0.8% 0.2%
1 10.6% 12.9% 7.8% 3.1% 1.0% 0.2%
2 6.7% 8.1% 4.9% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1%
3 2.8% 3.4% 2.1% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.9% 1.1% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 37.5% · Draw 27.2% · Away win 35.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1