NB I — Hungary
Sat, Nov 1 2025 • 19:00 • Groupama Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.67 (league 1.62) 1.20 (league 1.33)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
47.6% 24.2% 27.3%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.4%
2 - 1
9.5%
1 - 0
9.5%
Score & goals probability table
MTK Budapest
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ferencvarosi TC 0 5.7% 6.8% 4.1% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1%
1 9.5% 11.4% 6.8% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2%
2 7.9% 9.5% 5.7% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2%
3 4.4% 5.3% 3.2% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
4 1.8% 2.2% 1.3% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
5 0.6% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFerencvarosi TCMTK Budapest
Played55
Form40%67%
Attack50%75%
Defense56%69%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.612 | 2.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.45 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

91%
FT probability

2.5+

64%
FT probability

3.5+

46%
FT probability

BTTS

82%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Ferencvarosi TC MTK Budapest
HATHAT
Played55107411
Wins20%60%40%57%25%45%
Draws40%40%40%14%25%18%
Loses40%0%20%29%50%36%

Form: Ferencvarosi TC: DWWLWDWDDL • MTK Budapest: DLWLLWWWLWD

League goals

Metric Ferencvarosi TC MTK Budapest
HATHAT
GF total9112020424
GF avg1.82.22.02.91.02.2
GA total831112618
GA avg1.60.61.11.71.51.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFerencvarosi TCMTK Budapest
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%70%91%73%
1.560%40%55%27%
2.530%0%27%27%
3.510%0%27%9%
4.50%0%18%9%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFerencvarosi TCMTK Budapest
HATHAT
Clean sheets123303
Failed to score000011

Penalties

MetricFerencvarosi TCMTK Budapest
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total22

Streaks

MetricFerencvarosi TCMTK Budapest
Wins23
Draws21
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-45-01-2
Biggest losses1-2—2-73-1
Goals For3452
Goals Against2173

Model comparison

MetricFerencvarosi TCMTK Budapest
Form38%63%
Att40%60%
Def42%58%
Poisson Distribution61%39%
H2h85%15%
Goals67%33%
Total55.5%44.7%

Advice: Double chance : Ferencvarosi TC or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.42 @ Bet365
Draw5.12 @ Pinnacle
Away6.74 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.62 @ Bet365
No2.39 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.40 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.92 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Ferencvarosi TC = 1.67 (league 1.62), MTK Budapest = 1.20 (league 1.33)

MTK Budapest
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ferencvarosi TC 0 5.7% 6.8% 4.1% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1%
1 9.5% 11.4% 6.8% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2%
2 7.9% 9.5% 5.7% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2%
3 4.4% 5.3% 3.2% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
4 1.8% 2.2% 1.3% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
5 0.6% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 47.6% · Draw 24.2% · Away win 27.3%

Vtot 3 , Vtod1