NB I — Hungary
Sun, Nov 23 2025 • 17:30 • DVTK Stadion
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.61 (league 1.62) 1.13 (league 1.32)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
47.8% 24.8% 26.8%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.7%
1 - 0
10.4%
2 - 1
9.4%
Score & goals probability table
MTK Budapest
0 1 2 3 4 5
Diosgyori VTK 0 6.4% 7.3% 4.1% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
1 10.4% 11.7% 6.7% 2.5% 0.7% 0.2%
2 8.3% 9.4% 5.4% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1%
3 4.5% 5.1% 2.9% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
4 1.8% 2.0% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.6% 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricDiosgyori VTKMTK Budapest
Played55
Form20%47%
Attack33%92%
Defense17%25%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.811 | 2.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 29 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

92%
FT probability

2.5+

65%
FT probability

3.5+

46%
FT probability

BTTS

80%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Diosgyori VTK MTK Budapest
HATHAT
Played67138513
Wins17%14%15%63%20%46%
Draws67%14%38%13%20%15%
Loses17%71%46%25%60%38%

Form: Diosgyori VTK: LDLDWDDDLLWLL • MTK Budapest: DLWLLWWWLWDLW

League goals

Metric Diosgyori VTK MTK Budapest
HATHAT
GF total881623528
GF avg1.31.11.22.91.02.2
GA total91726121022
GA avg1.52.42.01.52.01.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineDiosgyori VTKMTK Budapest
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.569%92%92%69%
1.538%62%54%31%
2.58%31%31%31%
3.58%8%23%15%
4.50%8%15%8%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricDiosgyori VTKMTK Budapest
HATHAT
Clean sheets101404
Failed to score134011

Penalties

MetricDiosgyori VTKMTK Budapest
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total42

Streaks

MetricDiosgyori VTKMTK Budapest
Wins13
Draws31
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-11-45-01-2
Biggest losses1-35-02-74-1
Goals For2452
Goals Against3574

Model comparison

MetricDiosgyori VTKMTK Budapest
Form30%70%
Att27%73%
Def47%53%
Poisson Distribution62%38%
H2h29%71%
Goals19%81%
Total35.7%64.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or MTK Budapest

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.61 @ Pinnacle
Draw4.00 @ Bet365
Away2.52 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.50 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.75 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.44 @ William Hill
No2.85 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Diosgyori VTK = 1.61 (league 1.62), MTK Budapest = 1.13 (league 1.32)

MTK Budapest
0 1 2 3 4 5
Diosgyori VTK 0 6.4% 7.3% 4.1% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
1 10.4% 11.7% 6.7% 2.5% 0.7% 0.2%
2 8.3% 9.4% 5.4% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1%
3 4.5% 5.1% 2.9% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
4 1.8% 2.0% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.6% 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 47.8% · Draw 24.8% · Away win 26.8%

Vtot 4 , Vtod1