NB I — Hungary
Sun, Nov 23 2025 • 15:00 • Fehervari uti Stadion
Match Finished
1 - 3
Expected Goals
2.95 (league 1.62) 2.31 (league 1.32)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
44.3% 17.1% 27.9%
best score tips
2 - 2
6.0%
3 - 2
5.9%
2 - 1
5.2%
Score & goals probability table
Ujpest
0 1 2 3 4 5
Paks 0 0.5% 1.2% 1.4% 1.1% 0.6% 0.3%
1 1.5% 3.5% 4.1% 3.2% 1.8% 0.8%
2 2.3% 5.2% 6.0% 4.7% 2.7% 1.2%
3 2.2% 5.1% 5.9% 4.6% 2.6% 1.2%
4 1.6% 3.8% 4.4% 3.4% 1.9% 0.9%
5 1.0% 2.2% 2.6% 2.0% 1.1% 0.5%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPaksUjpest
Played55
Form40%33%
Attack75%50%
Defense33%17%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.86 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.610 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

75%
FT probability

3.5+

54%
FT probability

BTTS

82%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Paks Ujpest
HATHAT
Played67137613
Wins50%43%46%14%33%23%
Draws50%43%46%29%33%31%
Loses0%14%8%57%33%46%

Form: Paks: DWWDWWDWDDLDW • Ujpest: WDLLWLLDDDLWL

League goals

Metric Paks Ujpest
HATHAT
GF total17143181018
GF avg2.82.02.41.11.71.4
GA total11920121022
GA avg1.81.31.51.71.71.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePaksUjpest
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.592%85%69%92%
1.569%54%38%46%
2.546%15%23%15%
3.515%0%8%8%
4.515%0%0%8%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPaksUjpest
HATHAT
Clean sheets112011
Failed to score011224

Penalties

MetricPaksUjpest
Scored (total | %)5 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total52

Streaks

MetricPaksUjpest
Wins21
Draws23
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-53-11-4
Biggest losses—2-10-35-2
Goals For5534
Goals Against3235

Model comparison

MetricPaksUjpest
Form55%45%
Att60%40%
Def56%44%
Poisson Distribution59%41%
H2h71%29%
Goals69%31%
Total61.7%38.3%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Paks or draw and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.85 @ William Hill
Draw4.10 @ Bet365
Away4.10 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.44 @ Betano
Under 2.52.88 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.44 @ 188Bet
No3.03 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Paks = 2.95 (league 1.62), Ujpest = 2.31 (league 1.32)

Ujpest
0 1 2 3 4 5
Paks 0 0.5% 1.2% 1.4% 1.1% 0.6% 0.3%
1 1.5% 3.5% 4.1% 3.2% 1.8% 0.8%
2 2.3% 5.2% 6.0% 4.7% 2.7% 1.2%
3 2.2% 5.1% 5.9% 4.6% 2.6% 1.2%
4 1.6% 3.8% 4.4% 3.4% 1.9% 0.9%
5 1.0% 2.2% 2.6% 2.0% 1.1% 0.5%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 44.3% · Draw 17.1% · Away win 27.9%

Vtot 3 , Vtod1