NB I — Hungary
Sat, Dec 6 2025 • 16:00 • Fehervari uti Stadion
Not Started
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Expected Goals
3.86 (league 1.62) 1.06 (league 1.32)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
66.4% 8.6% 5.6%
best score tips
3 - 1
7.4%
4 - 1
7.2%
3 - 0
7.0%
Score & goals probability table
MTK Budapest
0 1 2 3 4 5
Paks 0 0.7% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 2.8% 3.0% 1.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 5.4% 5.8% 3.0% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
3 7.0% 7.4% 3.9% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
4 6.8% 7.2% 3.8% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
5 5.2% 5.5% 2.9% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPaksMTK Budapest
Played55
Form27%27%
Attack58%42%
Defense25%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.45 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.812 | 2.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

76%
FT probability

3.5+

54%
FT probability

BTTS

82%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Paks MTK Budapest
HATHAT
Played78158715
Wins43%38%40%63%14%40%
Draws43%38%40%13%14%13%
Loses14%25%20%25%71%47%

Form: Paks: DWWDWWDWDDLDWLL • MTK Budapest: DLWLLWWWLWDLWLL

League goals

Metric Paks MTK Budapest
HATHAT
GF total18143223528
GF avg2.61.82.12.90.71.9
GA total141024121729
GA avg2.01.31.61.52.41.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePaksMTK Budapest
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.587%87%80%73%
1.560%53%47%40%
2.540%20%27%40%
3.513%0%20%20%
4.513%0%13%7%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPaksMTK Budapest
HATHAT
Clean sheets112404
Failed to score022033

Penalties

MetricPaksMTK Budapest
Scored (total | %)5 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total52

Streaks

MetricPaksMTK Budapest
Wins23
Draws21
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-55-01-2
Biggest losses1-32-12-74-0
Goals For5552
Goals Against3274

Model comparison

MetricPaksMTK Budapest
Form50%50%
Att58%42%
Def57%43%
Poisson Distribution80%20%
H2h80%20%
Goals60%40%
Total64.2%35.8%

Advice: Combo Winner : Paks and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.78 @ Unibet
Draw4.30 @ Pinnacle
Away4.40 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.42 @ Unibet
Under 2.52.90 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.44 @ William Hill
No2.75 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Paks = 3.86 (league 1.62), MTK Budapest = 1.06 (league 1.32)

MTK Budapest
0 1 2 3 4 5
Paks 0 0.7% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 2.8% 3.0% 1.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 5.4% 5.8% 3.0% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
3 7.0% 7.4% 3.9% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
4 6.8% 7.2% 3.8% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
5 5.2% 5.5% 2.9% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 66.4% · Draw 8.6% · Away win 5.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1