NB I — Hungary
Sat, Jan 24 2026 • 14:00 • Varkert Stadium
Not Started
Expected Goals
2.03 (league 1.59) 0.85 (league 1.32)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
63.1% 20.4% 14.8%
best score tips
2 - 0
11.6%
1 - 0
11.4%
2 - 1
9.8%
Score & goals probability table
MTK Budapest
0 1 2 3 4 5
Kisvarda FC 0 5.6% 4.8% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 11.4% 9.7% 4.1% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
2 11.6% 9.8% 4.2% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
3 7.8% 6.7% 2.8% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
4 4.0% 3.4% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.6% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricKisvarda FCMTK Budapest
Played55
Form47%7%
Attack64%45%
Defense36%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.45 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.415 | 3

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

90%
FT probability

2.5+

63%
FT probability

3.5+

45%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Kisvarda FC MTK Budapest
HATHAT
Played99189918
Wins44%44%44%56%11%33%
Draws22%11%17%11%22%17%
Loses33%44%39%33%67%50%

Form: Kisvarda FC: DLWWWLLWWWDLLWLLDW • MTK Budapest: DLWLLWWWLWDLWLLLLD

League goals

Metric Kisvarda FC MTK Budapest
HATHAT
GF total1392226733
GF avg1.41.01.22.90.81.8
GA total131629162137
GA avg1.41.81.61.82.32.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineKisvarda FCMTK Budapest
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%67%83%78%
1.533%39%44%44%
2.522%28%28%44%
3.50%17%17%22%
4.50%11%11%6%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricKisvarda FCMTK Budapest
HATHAT
Clean sheets336404
Failed to score336033

Penalties

MetricKisvarda FCMTK Budapest
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricKisvarda FCMTK Budapest
Wins33
Draws11
Losses24

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-25-01-2
Biggest losses1-54-02-74-0
Goals For3352
Goals Against5574

Model comparison

MetricKisvarda FCMTK Budapest
Form88%13%
Att58%42%
Def68%32%
Poisson Distribution73%27%
H2h50%50%
Goals44%56%
Total63.5%36.7%

Advice: Double chance : Kisvarda FC or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.32 @ Betano
Draw3.49 @ Pinnacle
Away3.00 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.67 @ Unibet
Under 2.52.21 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.55 @ William Hill
No2.50 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Kisvarda FC = 2.03 (league 1.59), MTK Budapest = 0.85 (league 1.32)

MTK Budapest
0 1 2 3 4 5
Kisvarda FC 0 5.6% 4.8% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 11.4% 9.7% 4.1% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
2 11.6% 9.8% 4.2% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
3 7.8% 6.7% 2.8% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
4 4.0% 3.4% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.6% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 63.1% · Draw 20.4% · Away win 14.8%

vtt 1 , vtd1