NB I — Hungary
Sat, Feb 14 2026 • 18:15 • Fehervari uti Stadion
Match Finished
Expected Goals
3.40 (league 1.55) 1.55 (league 1.31)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
59.8% 13.4% 13.4%
best score tips
3 - 1
7.2%
2 - 1
6.3%
4 - 1
6.1%
Score & goals probability table
Diosgyori VTK
0 1 2 3 4 5
Paks 0 0.7% 1.1% 0.8% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
1 2.4% 3.7% 2.9% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2%
2 4.1% 6.3% 4.9% 2.5% 1.0% 0.3%
3 4.6% 7.2% 5.6% 2.9% 1.1% 0.3%
4 3.9% 6.1% 4.7% 2.5% 1.0% 0.3%
5 2.7% 4.2% 3.2% 1.7% 0.6% 0.2%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPaksDiosgyori VTK
Played55
Form60%13%
Attack33%28%
Defense78%56%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.25 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.88 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

70%
FT probability

3.5+

50%
FT probability

BTTS

82%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Paks Diosgyori VTK
HATHAT
Played101121111021
Wins50%45%48%27%10%19%
Draws30%27%29%55%20%38%
Loses20%27%24%18%70%43%

Form: Paks: DWWDWWDWDDLDWLLWWWWLL • Diosgyori VTK: LDLDWDDDLLWLLWDWLLLDD

League goals

Metric Paks Diosgyori VTK
HATHAT
GF total231841161228
GF avg2.31.62.01.51.21.3
GA total171229122335
GA avg1.71.11.41.12.31.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePaksDiosgyori VTK
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.581%86%76%86%
1.562%38%38%48%
2.533%14%10%24%
3.510%0%10%5%
4.510%0%0%5%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPaksDiosgyori VTK
HATHAT
Clean sheets123303
Failed to score134235

Penalties

MetricPaksDiosgyori VTK
Scored (total | %)6 | 100.00%5 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total65

Streaks

MetricPaksDiosgyori VTK
Wins41
Draws23
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-54-01-4
Biggest losses1-32-11-35-0
Goals For5544
Goals Against3235

Model comparison

MetricPaksDiosgyori VTK
Form82%18%
Att55%45%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution71%29%
H2h29%71%
Goals42%58%
Total57.7%42.3%

Advice: Double chance : Paks or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.58 @ Pinnacle
Draw4.60 @ Pinnacle
Away5.50 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.46 @ Unibet
Under 2.52.83 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.54 @ Unibet
No2.71 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Paks = 3.40 (league 1.55), Diosgyori VTK = 1.55 (league 1.31)

Diosgyori VTK
0 1 2 3 4 5
Paks 0 0.7% 1.1% 0.8% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
1 2.4% 3.7% 2.9% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2%
2 4.1% 6.3% 4.9% 2.5% 1.0% 0.3%
3 4.6% 7.2% 5.6% 2.9% 1.1% 0.3%
4 3.9% 6.1% 4.7% 2.5% 1.0% 0.3%
5 2.7% 4.2% 3.2% 1.7% 0.6% 0.2%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 59.8% · Draw 13.4% · Away win 13.4%

vtt 1 , vtd1