NB I — Hungary
Mon, Feb 23 2026 • 19:00 • Hidegkuti Nandor Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.17 (league 1.55) 2.61 (league 1.31)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
14.9% 16.8% 63.2%
best score tips
1 - 2
9.1%
1 - 3
7.9%
0 - 2
7.8%
Score & goals probability table
Ferencvarosi TC
0 1 2 3 4 5
MTK Budapest 0 2.3% 6.0% 7.8% 6.8% 4.4% 2.3%
1 2.7% 7.0% 9.1% 7.9% 5.1% 2.7%
2 1.6% 4.1% 5.3% 4.6% 3.0% 1.6%
3 0.6% 1.6% 2.1% 1.8% 1.2% 0.6%
4 0.2% 0.5% 0.6% 0.5% 0.3% 0.2%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMTK BudapestFerencvarosi TC
Played55
Form33%60%
Attack50%39%
Defense33%67%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.87 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)12 | 2.46 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

71%
FT probability

3.5+

50%
FT probability

BTTS

79%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric MTK Budapest Ferencvarosi TC
HATHAT
Played111122111122
Wins45%18%32%36%73%55%
Draws18%18%18%18%18%18%
Loses36%64%50%45%9%27%

Form: MTK Budapest: DLWLLWWWLWDLWLLLLDWLLD • Ferencvarosi TC: DWWLWDWDDLWWLWWWLWLWWL

League goals

Metric MTK Budapest Ferencvarosi TC
HATHAT
GF total291241212041
GF avg2.61.11.91.91.81.9
GA total21274816824
GA avg1.92.52.21.50.71.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMTK BudapestFerencvarosi TC
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.586%82%95%64%
1.550%55%50%32%
2.527%45%32%14%
3.514%23%9%0%
4.59%5%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMTK BudapestFerencvarosi TC
HATHAT
Clean sheets404358
Failed to score033101

Penalties

MetricMTK BudapestFerencvarosi TC
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%6 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total26

Streaks

MetricMTK BudapestFerencvarosi TC
Wins33
Draws12
Losses41

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-02-34-11-4
Biggest losses2-74-01-33-1
Goals For5344
Goals Against7433

Model comparison

MetricMTK BudapestFerencvarosi TC
Form36%64%
Att56%44%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution35%65%
H2h15%85%
Goals31%69%
Total34.3%65.7%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Ferencvarosi TC

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home5.45 @ Pinnacle
Draw4.51 @ Pinnacle
Away1.55 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.52 @ Betano
Under 2.52.58 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.62 @ Bet365
No2.45 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): MTK Budapest = 1.17 (league 1.55), Ferencvarosi TC = 2.61 (league 1.31)

Ferencvarosi TC
0 1 2 3 4 5
MTK Budapest 0 2.3% 6.0% 7.8% 6.8% 4.4% 2.3%
1 2.7% 7.0% 9.1% 7.9% 5.1% 2.7%
2 1.6% 4.1% 5.3% 4.6% 3.0% 1.6%
3 0.6% 1.6% 2.1% 1.8% 1.2% 0.6%
4 0.2% 0.5% 0.6% 0.5% 0.3% 0.2%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 14.9% · Draw 16.8% · Away win 63.2%

vtt 1 , vtd1