NB I — Hungary
Sun, Mar 8 2026 • 12:30 • Hidegkuti Nandor Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
3.57 (league 1.54) 1.97 (league 1.32)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
52.8% 13.9% 16.7%
best score tips
3 - 1
5.9%
3 - 2
5.8%
4 - 1
5.2%
Score & goals probability table
Diosgyori VTK
0 1 2 3 4 5
MTK Budapest 0 0.4% 0.8% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
1 1.4% 2.8% 2.7% 1.8% 0.9% 0.3%
2 2.5% 4.9% 4.9% 3.2% 1.6% 0.6%
3 3.0% 5.9% 5.8% 3.8% 1.9% 0.7%
4 2.7% 5.2% 5.2% 3.4% 1.7% 0.7%
5 1.9% 3.7% 3.7% 2.4% 1.2% 0.5%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMTK BudapestDiosgyori VTK
Played55
Form13%40%
Attack80%60%
Defense0%40%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.66 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)14 | 2.86 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

75%
FT probability

3.5+

53%
FT probability

BTTS

83%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric MTK Budapest Diosgyori VTK
HATHAT
Played121224121224
Wins42%17%29%25%17%21%
Draws17%25%21%58%17%38%
Loses42%58%50%17%67%42%

Form: MTK Budapest: DLWLLWWWLWDLWLLLLDWLLDLD • Diosgyori VTK: LDLDWDDDLLWLLWDWLLLDDWLD

League goals

Metric MTK Budapest Diosgyori VTK
HATHAT
GF total301444171532
GF avg2.51.21.81.41.31.3
GA total242953132639
GA avg2.02.42.21.12.21.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMTK BudapestDiosgyori VTK
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.588%83%79%88%
1.550%58%38%46%
2.525%46%8%21%
3.513%21%8%4%
4.58%4%0%4%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMTK BudapestDiosgyori VTK
HATHAT
Clean sheets404303
Failed to score033235

Penalties

MetricMTK BudapestDiosgyori VTK
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%7 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total27

Streaks

MetricMTK BudapestDiosgyori VTK
Wins31
Draws13
Losses43

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-02-34-01-4
Biggest losses2-74-01-35-0
Goals For5344
Goals Against7435

Model comparison

MetricMTK BudapestDiosgyori VTK
Form25%75%
Att57%43%
Def30%70%
Poisson Distribution67%33%
H2h60%40%
Goals67%33%
Total51.0%49.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : MTK Budapest or draw and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.26 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.75 @ Unibet
Away3.40 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.69 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.38 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.60 @ 188Bet
No2.56 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): MTK Budapest = 3.57 (league 1.54), Diosgyori VTK = 1.97 (league 1.32)

Diosgyori VTK
0 1 2 3 4 5
MTK Budapest 0 0.4% 0.8% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
1 1.4% 2.8% 2.7% 1.8% 0.9% 0.3%
2 2.5% 4.9% 4.9% 3.2% 1.6% 0.6%
3 3.0% 5.9% 5.8% 3.8% 1.9% 0.7%
4 2.7% 5.2% 5.2% 3.4% 1.7% 0.7%
5 1.9% 3.7% 3.7% 2.4% 1.2% 0.5%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 52.8% · Draw 13.9% · Away win 16.7%

vtt 1 , vtd1