NB I — Hungary
Fri, Mar 20 2026 • 19:00 • Hidegkuti Nandor Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.72 (league 1.53) 2.17 (league 1.32)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
30.3% 20.6% 46.0%
best score tips
1 - 2
8.3%
1 - 1
7.6%
2 - 2
7.1%
Score & goals probability table
Paks
0 1 2 3 4 5
MTK Budapest 0 2.0% 4.4% 4.8% 3.5% 1.9% 0.8%
1 3.5% 7.6% 8.3% 6.0% 3.2% 1.4%
2 3.0% 6.6% 7.1% 5.1% 2.8% 1.2%
3 1.7% 3.8% 4.1% 3.0% 1.6% 0.7%
4 0.8% 1.6% 1.8% 1.3% 0.7% 0.3%
5 0.3% 0.6% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMTK BudapestPaks
Played55
Form27%13%
Attack55%55%
Defense27%18%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.26 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.69 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

70%
FT probability

3.5+

50%
FT probability

BTTS

79%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric MTK Budapest Paks
HATHAT
Played131326131326
Wins38%15%27%38%38%38%
Draws23%31%27%31%31%31%
Loses38%54%46%31%31%31%

Form: MTK Budapest: DLWLLWWWLWDLWLLLLDWLLDLDDD • Paks: DWWDWWDWDDLDWLLWWWWLLLLLDD

League goals

Metric MTK Budapest Paks
HATHAT
GF total311445281947
GF avg2.41.11.72.21.51.8
GA total252954241438
GA avg1.92.22.11.81.11.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMTK BudapestPaks
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.585%81%81%85%
1.546%54%54%42%
2.523%42%31%15%
3.512%19%8%4%
4.58%4%8%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMTK BudapestPaks
HATHAT
Clean sheets415134
Failed to score044145

Penalties

MetricMTK BudapestPaks
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%9 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total29

Streaks

MetricMTK BudapestPaks
Wins34
Draws12
Losses45

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-02-33-01-5
Biggest losses2-74-01-32-1
Goals For5355
Goals Against7442

Model comparison

MetricMTK BudapestPaks
Form67%33%
Att50%50%
Def53%47%
Poisson Distribution47%53%
H2h20%80%
Goals41%59%
Total46.3%53.7%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Paks

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.20 @ 888Sport
Draw3.86 @ Pinnacle
Away2.15 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.47 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.75 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.43 @ Pinnacle
No2.88 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): MTK Budapest = 1.72 (league 1.53), Paks = 2.17 (league 1.32)

Paks
0 1 2 3 4 5
MTK Budapest 0 2.0% 4.4% 4.8% 3.5% 1.9% 0.8%
1 3.5% 7.6% 8.3% 6.0% 3.2% 1.4%
2 3.0% 6.6% 7.1% 5.1% 2.8% 1.2%
3 1.7% 3.8% 4.1% 3.0% 1.6% 0.7%
4 0.8% 1.6% 1.8% 1.3% 0.7% 0.3%
5 0.3% 0.6% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 30.3% · Draw 20.6% · Away win 46.0%

vtt 1 , vtd1