Ekstraklasa — Poland
Sun, Dec 14 2025 • 16:30 • Motor Lublin Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.84 (league 1.67) 1.17 (league 1.22)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
26.3% 30.2% 43.3%
best score tips
0 - 1
15.7%
0 - 0
13.5%
1 - 1
13.2%
Score & goals probability table
Jagiellonia
0 1 2 3 4 5
Motor Lublin 0 13.5% 15.7% 9.2% 3.6% 1.0% 0.2%
1 11.3% 13.2% 7.7% 3.0% 0.9% 0.2%
2 4.7% 5.5% 3.2% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
3 1.3% 1.5% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMotor LublinJagiellonia
Played55
Form40%27%
Attack50%42%
Defense50%42%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.25 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.27 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

77%
FT probability

2.5+

54%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Motor Lublin Jagiellonia
HATHAT
Played89177916
Wins25%22%24%71%33%50%
Draws63%33%47%0%44%25%
Loses13%44%29%29%22%25%

Form: Motor Lublin: WLDDLWDDDLLWDDWDL • Jagiellonia: LWWWWDWDDWWLLWDL

League goals

Metric Motor Lublin Jagiellonia
HATHAT
GF total111122181028
GF avg1.41.21.32.61.11.8
GA total10172711920
GA avg1.31.91.61.61.01.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMotor LublinJagiellonia
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.576%76%81%69%
1.541%47%50%44%
2.512%18%25%6%
3.50%12%13%6%
4.50%6%6%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMotor LublinJagiellonia
HATHAT
Clean sheets314235
Failed to score134123

Penalties

MetricMotor LublinJagiellonia
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total02

Streaks

MetricMotor LublinJagiellonia
Wins14
Draws32
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-24-01-2
Biggest losses2-54-10-42-1
Goals For3352
Goals Against5442

Model comparison

MetricMotor LublinJagiellonia
Form60%40%
Att55%45%
Def54%46%
Poisson Distribution41%59%
H2h25%75%
Goals22%78%
Total42.8%57.2%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Jagiellonia

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.15 @ 10Bet
Draw3.85 @ Pinnacle
Away2.36 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.67 @ 10Bet
Under 2.52.32 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.58 @ 188Bet
No2.52 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Motor Lublin = 0.84 (league 1.67), Jagiellonia = 1.17 (league 1.22)

Jagiellonia
0 1 2 3 4 5
Motor Lublin 0 13.5% 15.7% 9.2% 3.6% 1.0% 0.2%
1 11.3% 13.2% 7.7% 3.0% 0.9% 0.2%
2 4.7% 5.5% 3.2% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
3 1.3% 1.5% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 26.3% · Draw 30.2% · Away win 43.3%

vtt 7 , vtd1