Wed, Sep 24 2025 • 16:45 • zondacrypto Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.62 (league 1.68) 3.17 (league 1.23)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
4.3% 9.5% 76.0%
best score tips
0 - 3
11.9%
0 - 2
11.3%
0 - 4
9.5%
Score & goals probability table
Lech Poznan
0 1 2 3 4 5
Raków Częstochowa 0 2.3% 7.2% 11.3% 11.9% 9.5% 6.0%
1 1.4% 4.5% 7.1% 7.5% 5.9% 3.7%
2 0.4% 1.4% 2.2% 2.3% 1.8% 1.2%
3 0.1% 0.3% 0.5% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricRaków CzęstochowaLech Poznan
Played55
Form27%67%
Attack25%40%
Defense55%75%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 18 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.85 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

91%
FT probability

2.5+

64%
FT probability

3.5+

45%
FT probability

BTTS

79%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Raków Częstochowa Lech Poznan
HATHAT
Played347527
Wins0%50%29%40%100%57%
Draws33%0%14%20%0%14%
Loses67%50%57%40%0%29%

Form: Raków Częstochowa: WLLWLLD • Lech Poznan: LWWDWLW

League goals

Metric Raków Częstochowa Lech Poznan
HATHAT
GF total2577613
GF avg0.71.31.01.43.01.9
GA total47119312
GA avg1.31.81.61.81.51.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineRaków CzęstochowaLech Poznan
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.571%86%100%86%
1.514%57%57%43%
2.514%14%14%29%
3.50%0%14%14%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricRaków CzęstochowaLech Poznan
HATHAT
Clean sheets011011
Failed to score112000

Penalties

MetricRaków CzęstochowaLech Poznan
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricRaków CzęstochowaLech Poznan
Wins12
Draws01
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-32-10-2
Biggest losses1-23-11-4
Goals For1324
Goals Against2343

Model comparison

MetricRaków CzęstochowaLech Poznan
Form29%71%
Att38%62%
Def36%64%
Poisson Distribution15%85%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total36.3%63.7%

Advice: Winner : Lech Poznan

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.10 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.49 @ Pinnacle
Away3.70 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.98 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.91 @ SBO

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.81 @ Pinnacle
No2.04 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Raków Częstochowa = 0.62 (league 1.68), Lech Poznan = 3.17 (league 1.23)

Lech Poznan
0 1 2 3 4 5
Raków Częstochowa 0 2.3% 7.2% 11.3% 11.9% 9.5% 6.0%
1 1.4% 4.5% 7.1% 7.5% 5.9% 3.7%
2 0.4% 1.4% 2.2% 2.3% 1.8% 1.2%
3 0.1% 0.3% 0.5% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 4.3% · Draw 9.5% · Away win 76.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1