Sun, Aug 31 2025 • 18:15 • Stadion Miejski im. Floriana Krygiera
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.02 (league 1.68) 2.76 (league 1.23)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
26.5% 17.8% 47.9%
best score tips
2 - 2
6.5%
1 - 2
6.5%
2 - 3
6.0%
Score & goals probability table
Raków Częstochowa
0 1 2 3 4 5
Pogon Szczecin 0 0.8% 2.3% 3.2% 2.9% 2.0% 1.1%
1 1.7% 4.7% 6.5% 5.9% 4.1% 2.3%
2 1.7% 4.7% 6.5% 6.0% 4.1% 2.3%
3 1.2% 3.2% 4.4% 4.0% 2.8% 1.5%
4 0.6% 1.6% 2.2% 2.0% 1.4% 0.8%
5 0.2% 0.7% 0.9% 0.8% 0.6% 0.3%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPogon SzczecinRaków Częstochowa
Played54
Form47%50%
Attack53%40%
Defense47%53%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.66 | 1.5
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.67 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

72%
FT probability

3.5+

51%
FT probability

BTTS

82%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Pogon Szczecin Raków Częstochowa
HATHAT
Played246134
Wins50%25%33%0%67%50%
Draws0%25%17%0%0%0%
Loses50%50%50%100%33%50%

Form: Pogon Szczecin: LWDLLW • Raków Częstochowa: WLLW

League goals

Metric Pogon Szczecin Raków Częstochowa
HATHAT
GF total459156
GF avg2.01.31.51.01.71.5
GA total4913257
GA avg2.02.32.22.01.71.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePogon SzczecinRaków Częstochowa
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.583%100%100%75%
1.533%50%25%75%
2.517%33%25%25%
3.517%17%0%0%
4.50%17%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPogon SzczecinRaków Częstochowa
HATHAT
Clean sheets000011
Failed to score101000

Penalties

MetricPogon SzczecinRaków Częstochowa
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricPogon SzczecinRaków Częstochowa
Wins11
Draws10
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-11-22-3
Biggest losses0-35-11-23-1
Goals For4213
Goals Against3523

Model comparison

MetricPogon SzczecinRaków Częstochowa
Form54%46%
Att57%43%
Def47%53%
Poisson Distribution41%59%
H2h29%71%
Goals33%67%
Total43.5%56.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Raków Częstochowa

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.05 @ Unibet
Draw3.50 @ Unibet
Away2.44 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.04 @ SBO
Under 2.51.85 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.80 @ Bet365
No2.04 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Pogon Szczecin = 2.02 (league 1.68), Raków Częstochowa = 2.76 (league 1.23)

Raków Częstochowa
0 1 2 3 4 5
Pogon Szczecin 0 0.8% 2.3% 3.2% 2.9% 2.0% 1.1%
1 1.7% 4.7% 6.5% 5.9% 4.1% 2.3%
2 1.7% 4.7% 6.5% 6.0% 4.1% 2.3%
3 1.2% 3.2% 4.4% 4.0% 2.8% 1.5%
4 0.6% 1.6% 2.2% 2.0% 1.4% 0.8%
5 0.2% 0.7% 0.9% 0.8% 0.6% 0.3%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 26.5% · Draw 17.8% · Away win 47.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1