Sat, Sep 20 2025 • 18:15 • zondacrypto Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.30 (league 1.68) 1.22 (league 1.23)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
9.0% 30.6% 60.2%
best score tips
0 - 1
26.7%
0 - 0
21.9%
0 - 2
16.3%
Score & goals probability table
Legia Warszawa
0 1 2 3 4 5
Raków Częstochowa 0 21.9% 26.7% 16.3% 6.6% 2.0% 0.5%
1 6.5% 8.0% 4.9% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1%
2 1.0% 1.2% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricRaków CzęstochowaLegia Warszawa
Played55
Form20%47%
Attack63%100%
Defense0%38%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 18 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 25 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

66%
FT probability

2.5+

46%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Raków Częstochowa Legia Warszawa
HATHAT
Played246336
Wins0%50%33%67%33%50%
Draws0%0%0%33%0%17%
Loses100%50%67%0%67%33%

Form: Raków Częstochowa: WLLWLL • Legia Warszawa: WDWLLW

League goals

Metric Raków Częstochowa Legia Warszawa
HATHAT
GF total1567310
GF avg0.51.31.02.31.01.7
GA total3710235
GA avg1.51.81.70.71.00.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineRaków CzęstochowaLegia Warszawa
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%83%67%67%
1.517%67%50%17%
2.517%17%33%0%
3.50%0%17%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricRaków CzęstochowaLegia Warszawa
HATHAT
Clean sheets011112
Failed to score112112

Penalties

MetricRaków CzęstochowaLegia Warszawa
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricRaków CzęstochowaLegia Warszawa
Wins11
Draws01
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-34-10-2
Biggest losses1-23-12-1
Goals For1342
Goals Against2312

Model comparison

MetricRaków CzęstochowaLegia Warszawa
Form30%70%
Att38%62%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution19%81%
H2h85%15%
Goals64%36%
Total44.8%55.2%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Legia Warszawa

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.38 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.52 @ Pinnacle
Away2.99 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.80 @ Pinnacle
No2.05 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.03 @ 188Bet
Under 2.51.87 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Raków Częstochowa = 0.30 (league 1.68), Legia Warszawa = 1.22 (league 1.23)

Legia Warszawa
0 1 2 3 4 5
Raków Częstochowa 0 21.9% 26.7% 16.3% 6.6% 2.0% 0.5%
1 6.5% 8.0% 4.9% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1%
2 1.0% 1.2% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 9.0% · Draw 30.6% · Away win 60.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1