Sat, Sep 20 2025 • 15:30 • Stadion Sportowy Bruk-Bet Termalica
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.31 (league 1.69) 7.43 (league 1.24)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
2.1% 2.9% 19.2%
best score tips
2 - 5
3.0%
1 - 5
2.6%
3 - 5
2.3%
Score & goals probability table
Lech Poznan
0 1 2 3 4 5
Nieciecza 0 0.0% 0.0% 0.2% 0.4% 0.7% 1.1%
1 0.0% 0.1% 0.4% 0.9% 1.7% 2.6%
2 0.0% 0.1% 0.4% 1.1% 2.0% 3.0%
3 0.0% 0.1% 0.3% 0.8% 1.5% 2.3%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.5% 0.9% 1.3%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.4% 0.6%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNiecieczaLech Poznan
Played55
Form33%67%
Attack100%100%
Defense0%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.210 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.68 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

85%
FT probability

3.5+

61%
FT probability

BTTS

93%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Nieciecza Lech Poznan
HATHAT
Played358516
Wins0%40%25%40%100%50%
Draws33%40%38%20%0%17%
Loses67%20%38%40%0%33%

Form: Nieciecza: WLDWLDLD • Lech Poznan: LWWDWL

League goals

Metric Nieciecza Lech Poznan
HATHAT
GF total47117411
GF avg1.31.41.41.44.01.8
GA total74119312
GA avg2.30.81.41.83.02.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNiecieczaLech Poznan
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.588%75%100%100%
1.525%38%50%50%
2.513%25%17%33%
3.513%0%17%17%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNiecieczaLech Poznan
HATHAT
Clean sheets022000
Failed to score011000

Penalties

MetricNiecieczaLech Poznan
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricNiecieczaLech Poznan
Wins12
Draws11
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins0-42-13-4
Biggest losses1-32-01-4
Goals For2424
Goals Against3243

Model comparison

MetricNiecieczaLech Poznan
Form33%67%
Att38%63%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution23%77%
H2h0%100%
Goals11%89%
Total31.0%69.2%

Advice: Combo Winner : Lech Poznan and +2.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.41 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.96 @ Pinnacle
Away2.10 @ William Hill

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.60 @ 188Bet
No2.43 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.66 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.29 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Nieciecza = 2.31 (league 1.69), Lech Poznan = 7.43 (league 1.24)

Lech Poznan
0 1 2 3 4 5
Nieciecza 0 0.0% 0.0% 0.2% 0.4% 0.7% 1.1%
1 0.0% 0.1% 0.4% 0.9% 1.7% 2.6%
2 0.0% 0.1% 0.4% 1.1% 2.0% 3.0%
3 0.0% 0.1% 0.3% 0.8% 1.5% 2.3%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.5% 0.9% 1.3%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.4% 0.6%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 2.1% · Draw 2.9% · Away win 19.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1