Sun, Sep 21 2025 • 10:15 • KGHM Zagłębie Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
4.09 (league 1.69) 1.79 (league 1.23)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
54.4% 10.9% 10.9%
best score tips
4 - 1
5.8%
3 - 1
5.7%
4 - 2
5.2%
Score & goals probability table
Motor Lublin
0 1 2 3 4 5
Zaglebie Lubin 0 0.3% 0.5% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
1 1.1% 2.0% 1.8% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2%
2 2.3% 4.2% 3.7% 2.2% 1.0% 0.4%
3 3.2% 5.7% 5.1% 3.0% 1.4% 0.5%
4 3.2% 5.8% 5.2% 3.1% 1.4% 0.5%
5 2.7% 4.8% 4.3% 2.6% 1.1% 0.4%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricZaglebie LubinMotor Lublin
Played55
Form53%40%
Attack100%83%
Defense0%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)12 | 2.45 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.66 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

72%
FT probability

3.5+

51%
FT probability

BTTS

81%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Zaglebie Lubin Motor Lublin
HATHAT
Played347347
Wins33%25%29%33%25%29%
Draws67%25%43%67%25%43%
Loses0%50%29%0%50%29%

Form: Zaglebie Lubin: LDDWLDW • Motor Lublin: WLDDLWD

League goals

Metric Zaglebie Lubin Motor Lublin
HATHAT
GF total9514257
GF avg3.01.32.00.71.31.0
GA total56111910
GA avg1.71.51.60.32.31.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineZaglebie LubinMotor Lublin
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.586%100%71%57%
1.557%57%14%43%
2.514%0%14%29%
3.514%0%0%14%
4.514%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricZaglebie LubinMotor Lublin
HATHAT
Clean sheets000213
Failed to score011112

Penalties

MetricZaglebie LubinMotor Lublin
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total30

Streaks

MetricZaglebie LubinMotor Lublin
Wins11
Draws22
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins6-21-21-00-1
Biggest losses2-14-1
Goals For6213
Goals Against2214

Model comparison

MetricZaglebie LubinMotor Lublin
Form57%43%
Att71%29%
Def43%57%
Poisson Distribution69%31%
H2h0%100%
Goals20%80%
Total52.0%48.0%

Advice: Combo Winner : Zaglebie Lubin and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.17 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.72 @ Pinnacle
Away3.25 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.71 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.20 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.60 @ Unibet
No2.39 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Zaglebie Lubin = 4.09 (league 1.69), Motor Lublin = 1.79 (league 1.23)

Motor Lublin
0 1 2 3 4 5
Zaglebie Lubin 0 0.3% 0.5% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
1 1.1% 2.0% 1.8% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2%
2 2.3% 4.2% 3.7% 2.2% 1.0% 0.4%
3 3.2% 5.7% 5.1% 3.0% 1.4% 0.5%
4 3.2% 5.8% 5.2% 3.1% 1.4% 0.5%
5 2.7% 4.8% 4.3% 2.6% 1.1% 0.4%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 54.4% · Draw 10.9% · Away win 10.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1