Sat, Sep 27 2025 • 12:45 • Exbud Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.67 (league 1.69) 0.73 (league 1.23)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
73.0% 13.8% 7.7%
best score tips
2 - 0
11.9%
3 - 0
10.6%
1 - 0
8.9%
Score & goals probability table
Lechia Gdansk
0 1 2 3 4 5
Korona Kielce 0 3.3% 2.4% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 8.9% 6.5% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 11.9% 8.7% 3.2% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
3 10.6% 7.7% 2.8% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
4 7.1% 5.2% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
5 3.8% 2.8% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricKorona KielceLechia Gdansk
Played55
Form73%60%
Attack39%50%
Defense89%39%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.49 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.411 | 2.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

94%
FT probability

2.5+

66%
FT probability

3.5+

47%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Korona Kielce Lechia Gdansk
HATHAT
Played459459
Wins75%20%44%50%20%33%
Draws0%60%33%25%20%22%
Loses25%20%22%25%60%44%

Form: Korona Kielce: LLDWDWWWD • Lechia Gdansk: LLDDLWLWW

League goals

Metric Korona Kielce Lechia Gdansk
HATHAT
GF total65119918
GF avg1.51.01.22.31.82.0
GA total25771522
GA avg0.51.00.81.83.02.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineKorona KielceLechia Gdansk
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%56%89%78%
1.533%22%67%78%
2.522%0%33%44%
3.50%0%11%22%
4.50%0%0%11%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricKorona KielceLechia Gdansk
HATHAT
Clean sheets314202
Failed to score123011

Penalties

MetricKorona KielceLechia Gdansk
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricKorona KielceLechia Gdansk
Wins31
Draws12
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-32-03-4
Biggest losses0-22-03-46-2
Goals For3334
Goals Against2246

Model comparison

MetricKorona KielceLechia Gdansk
Form55%45%
Att44%56%
Def85%15%
Poisson Distribution78%22%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total60.3%39.7%

Advice: Double chance : Korona Kielce or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.97 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.90 @ Unibet
Away4.10 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.85 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.06 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.80 @ Bet365
No2.20 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Korona Kielce = 2.67 (league 1.69), Lechia Gdansk = 0.73 (league 1.23)

Lechia Gdansk
0 1 2 3 4 5
Korona Kielce 0 3.3% 2.4% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 8.9% 6.5% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 11.9% 8.7% 3.2% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
3 10.6% 7.7% 2.8% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
4 7.1% 5.2% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
5 3.8% 2.8% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 73.0% · Draw 13.8% · Away win 7.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1