Sun, Oct 5 2025 • 15:30 • Stadion miejski w Katowicach
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.82 (league 1.69) 3.94 (league 1.23)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
12.1% 11.7% 54.7%
best score tips
1 - 3
5.9%
1 - 4
5.8%
2 - 3
5.3%
Score & goals probability table
Lech Poznan
0 1 2 3 4 5
GKS Katowice 0 0.3% 1.2% 2.5% 3.2% 3.2% 2.5%
1 0.6% 2.3% 4.5% 5.9% 5.8% 4.5%
2 0.5% 2.1% 4.0% 5.3% 5.2% 4.1%
3 0.3% 1.2% 2.4% 3.2% 3.2% 2.5%
4 0.1% 0.6% 1.1% 1.5% 1.4% 1.1%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.4% 0.5% 0.5% 0.4%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricGKS KatowiceLech Poznan
Played55
Form27%53%
Attack20%45%
Defense45%65%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.89 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)11 | 2.27 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

75%
FT probability

3.5+

53%
FT probability

BTTS

81%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric GKS Katowice Lech Poznan
HATHAT
Played5510639
Wins40%0%20%33%67%44%
Draws20%20%20%33%33%33%
Loses40%80%60%33%0%22%

Form: GKS Katowice: LDLLWLWLLD • Lech Poznan: LWWDWLWDD

League goals

Metric GKS Katowice Lech Poznan
HATHAT
GF total92119817
GF avg1.80.41.11.52.71.9
GA total9122111516
GA avg1.82.42.11.81.71.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineGKS KatowiceLech Poznan
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%100%100%89%
1.530%70%67%56%
2.520%40%11%22%
3.510%0%11%11%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricGKS KatowiceLech Poznan
HATHAT
Clean sheets000011
Failed to score235000

Penalties

MetricGKS KatowiceLech Poznan
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total02

Streaks

MetricGKS KatowiceLech Poznan
Wins12
Draws11
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-12-10-2
Biggest losses0-33-01-4
Goals For4124
Goals Against3343

Model comparison

MetricGKS KatowiceLech Poznan
Form33%67%
Att31%69%
Def39%61%
Poisson Distribution30%70%
H2h20%80%
Goals33%67%
Total31.0%69.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Lech Poznan and +1.5 goals

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.10 @ Bet365
Draw3.98 @ Pinnacle
Away2.28 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.62 @ 10Bet
Under 2.52.38 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.55 @ Pinnacle
No2.50 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): GKS Katowice = 1.82 (league 1.69), Lech Poznan = 3.94 (league 1.23)

Lech Poznan
0 1 2 3 4 5
GKS Katowice 0 0.3% 1.2% 2.5% 3.2% 3.2% 2.5%
1 0.6% 2.3% 4.5% 5.9% 5.8% 4.5%
2 0.5% 2.1% 4.0% 5.3% 5.2% 4.1%
3 0.3% 1.2% 2.4% 3.2% 3.2% 2.5%
4 0.1% 0.6% 1.1% 1.5% 1.4% 1.1%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.4% 0.5% 0.5% 0.4%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 12.1% · Draw 11.7% · Away win 54.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1