Ekstraklasa — Poland
Sun, Oct 5 2025 • 18:15 • Stadion im. Ernesta Pohla
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.96 (league 1.67) 0.81 (league 1.23)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
37.5% 33.0% 29.4%
best score tips
0 - 0
16.9%
1 - 0
16.3%
0 - 1
13.8%
Score & goals probability table
Legia Warszawa
0 1 2 3 4 5
Gornik Zabrze 0 16.9% 13.8% 5.6% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
1 16.3% 13.3% 5.4% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0%
2 7.8% 6.4% 2.6% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 2.5% 2.0% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.6% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricGornik ZabrzeLegia Warszawa
Played55
Form67%53%
Attack40%35%
Defense80%80%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.67 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.84 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

64%
FT probability

2.5+

45%
FT probability

3.5+

32%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Gornik Zabrze Legia Warszawa
HATHAT
Played5510549
Wins60%60%60%60%25%44%
Draws0%20%10%40%25%33%
Loses40%20%30%0%50%22%

Form: Gornik Zabrze: WWLLWWLWWD • Legia Warszawa: WDWLLWDDW

League goals

Metric Gornik Zabrze Legia Warszawa
HATHAT
GF total87158412
GF avg1.61.41.51.61.01.3
GA total538246
GA avg1.00.60.80.41.00.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineGornik ZabrzeLegia Warszawa
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.580%60%67%56%
1.540%20%33%11%
2.530%0%22%0%
3.50%0%11%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricGornik ZabrzeLegia Warszawa
HATHAT
Clean sheets134314
Failed to score202213

Penalties

MetricGornik ZabrzeLegia Warszawa
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total02

Streaks

MetricGornik ZabrzeLegia Warszawa
Wins21
Draws02
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-34-10-2
Biggest losses0-12-1—2-1
Goals For3342
Goals Against2212

Model comparison

MetricGornik ZabrzeLegia Warszawa
Form56%44%
Att53%47%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution53%47%
H2h7%93%
Goals31%69%
Total41.7%58.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Legia Warszawa

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.83 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.45 @ 188Bet
Away2.56 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.85 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.07 @ SBO

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.67 @ Bet365
No2.33 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Gornik Zabrze = 0.96 (league 1.67), Legia Warszawa = 0.81 (league 1.23)

Legia Warszawa
0 1 2 3 4 5
Gornik Zabrze 0 16.9% 13.8% 5.6% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
1 16.3% 13.3% 5.4% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0%
2 7.8% 6.4% 2.6% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 2.5% 2.0% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.6% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 37.5% · Draw 33.0% · Away win 29.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1