Sun, Oct 5 2025 • 10:15 • Chorten Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.48 (league 1.69) 1.62 (league 1.23)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
34.7% 23.8% 40.5%
best score tips
1 - 1
10.8%
1 - 2
8.7%
2 - 1
8.0%
Score & goals probability table
Korona Kielce
0 1 2 3 4 5
Jagiellonia 0 4.5% 7.3% 5.9% 3.2% 1.3% 0.4%
1 6.6% 10.8% 8.7% 4.7% 1.9% 0.6%
2 4.9% 8.0% 6.5% 3.5% 1.4% 0.5%
3 2.4% 4.0% 3.2% 1.7% 0.7% 0.2%
4 0.9% 1.5% 1.2% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.3% 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricJagielloniaKorona Kielce
Played55
Form60%87%
Attack33%50%
Defense83%94%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.29 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.61 | 0.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

84%
FT probability

2.5+

59%
FT probability

3.5+

42%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Jagiellonia Korona Kielce
HATHAT
Played4595510
Wins75%40%56%80%20%50%
Draws0%60%33%0%60%30%
Loses25%0%11%20%20%20%

Form: Jagiellonia: LWWWWDWDD • Korona Kielce: LLDWDWWWDW

League goals

Metric Jagiellonia Korona Kielce
HATHAT
GF total106169514
GF avg2.51.21.81.81.01.4
GA total8412257
GA avg2.00.81.30.41.00.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineJagielloniaKorona Kielce
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.578%67%70%50%
1.556%44%40%20%
2.522%11%30%0%
3.511%11%0%0%
4.511%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricJagielloniaKorona Kielce
HATHAT
Clean sheets123415
Failed to score112123

Penalties

MetricJagielloniaKorona Kielce
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricJagielloniaKorona Kielce
Wins43
Draws11
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-21-23-01-3
Biggest losses0-40-22-0
Goals For5233
Goals Against4222

Model comparison

MetricJagielloniaKorona Kielce
Form41%59%
Att40%60%
Def25%75%
Poisson Distribution47%53%
H2h71%29%
Goals61%39%
Total47.5%52.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Korona Kielce

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.09 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.70 @ Unibet
Away3.60 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.88 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.05 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.74 @ Pinnacle
No2.20 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Jagiellonia = 1.48 (league 1.69), Korona Kielce = 1.62 (league 1.23)

Korona Kielce
0 1 2 3 4 5
Jagiellonia 0 4.5% 7.3% 5.9% 3.2% 1.3% 0.4%
1 6.6% 10.8% 8.7% 4.7% 1.9% 0.6%
2 4.9% 8.0% 6.5% 3.5% 1.4% 0.5%
3 2.4% 4.0% 3.2% 1.7% 0.7% 0.2%
4 0.9% 1.5% 1.2% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.3% 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 34.7% · Draw 23.8% · Away win 40.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1