Fri, Oct 3 2025 • 18:30 • Stadion Miejski im. Floriana Krygiera
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.77 (league 1.69) 0.81 (league 1.23)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
59.3% 23.0% 16.8%
best score tips
1 - 0
13.4%
2 - 0
11.9%
1 - 1
10.8%
Score & goals probability table
Piast Gliwice
0 1 2 3 4 5
Pogon Szczecin 0 7.5% 6.1% 2.5% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
1 13.4% 10.8% 4.4% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
2 11.9% 9.6% 3.9% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
3 7.0% 5.7% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 3.1% 2.5% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.1% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPogon SzczecinPiast Gliwice
Played55
Form40%40%
Attack50%50%
Defense50%57%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.47 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.46 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

81%
FT probability

2.5+

57%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Pogon Szczecin Piast Gliwice
HATHAT
Played4610448
Wins50%17%30%25%0%13%
Draws0%17%10%50%50%50%
Loses50%67%60%25%50%38%

Form: Pogon Szczecin: LWDLLWWLLL • Piast Gliwice: LLDDDDLW

League goals

Metric Pogon Szczecin Piast Gliwice
HATHAT
GF total9514527
GF avg2.30.81.41.30.50.9
GA total81119459
GA avg2.01.81.91.01.31.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePogon SzczecinPiast Gliwice
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.570%90%38%75%
1.540%40%25%38%
2.520%30%13%0%
3.510%20%13%0%
4.50%10%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPogon SzczecinPiast Gliwice
HATHAT
Clean sheets101112
Failed to score123235

Penalties

MetricPogon SzczecinPiast Gliwice
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricPogon SzczecinPiast Gliwice
Wins20
Draws14
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-11-24-2
Biggest losses0-35-10-12-0
Goals For4242
Goals Against4522

Model comparison

MetricPogon SzczecinPiast Gliwice
Form50%50%
Att50%50%
Def46%54%
Poisson Distribution66%34%
H2h40%60%
Goals44%56%
Total49.3%50.7%

Advice: Double chance : Pogon Szczecin or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.10 @ Unibet
Draw3.77 @ Pinnacle
Away3.55 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.87 @ 188Bet
Under 2.52.27 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.73 @ 188Bet
No2.42 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Pogon Szczecin = 1.77 (league 1.69), Piast Gliwice = 0.81 (league 1.23)

Piast Gliwice
0 1 2 3 4 5
Pogon Szczecin 0 7.5% 6.1% 2.5% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
1 13.4% 10.8% 4.4% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
2 11.9% 9.6% 3.9% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
3 7.0% 5.7% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 3.1% 2.5% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.1% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 59.3% · Draw 23.0% · Away win 16.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1