Sun, Oct 5 2025 • 12:45 • zondacrypto Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.32 (league 1.67) 1.71 (league 1.22)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
29.3% 23.6% 46.0%
best score tips
1 - 1
10.9%
1 - 2
9.3%
0 - 1
8.3%
Score & goals probability table
Motor Lublin
0 1 2 3 4 5
Raków Częstochowa 0 4.8% 8.3% 7.1% 4.1% 1.7% 0.6%
1 6.4% 10.9% 9.3% 5.3% 2.3% 0.8%
2 4.2% 7.2% 6.1% 3.5% 1.5% 0.5%
3 1.8% 3.1% 2.7% 1.5% 0.7% 0.2%
4 0.6% 1.0% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricRaków CzęstochowaMotor Lublin
Played55
Form33%40%
Attack20%30%
Defense70%65%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.86 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.27 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

81%
FT probability

2.5+

57%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

75%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Raków Częstochowa Motor Lublin
HATHAT
Played459459
Wins0%60%33%25%20%22%
Draws50%0%22%75%40%56%
Loses50%40%44%0%40%22%

Form: Raków Częstochowa: WLLWLLDDW • Motor Lublin: WLDDLWDDD

League goals

Metric Raków Częstochowa Motor Lublin
HATHAT
GF total46104711
GF avg1.01.21.11.01.41.2
GA total671331114
GA avg1.51.41.40.82.21.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineRaków CzęstochowaMotor Lublin
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.578%78%78%67%
1.522%56%33%56%
2.511%11%11%22%
3.50%0%0%11%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricRaków CzęstochowaMotor Lublin
HATHAT
Clean sheets022213
Failed to score112112

Penalties

MetricRaków CzęstochowaMotor Lublin
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricRaków CzęstochowaMotor Lublin
Wins11
Draws22
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-31-00-1
Biggest losses1-23-14-1
Goals For2323
Goals Against2324

Model comparison

MetricRaków CzęstochowaMotor Lublin
Form45%55%
Att40%60%
Def54%46%
Poisson Distribution42%58%
H2h88%13%
Goals78%22%
Total57.8%42.3%

Advice: Double chance : Raków Częstochowa or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.61 @ Pinnacle
Draw4.33 @ Bet365
Away5.90 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.74 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.20 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.81 @ Unibet
No2.10 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Raków Częstochowa = 1.32 (league 1.67), Motor Lublin = 1.71 (league 1.22)

Motor Lublin
0 1 2 3 4 5
Raków Częstochowa 0 4.8% 8.3% 7.1% 4.1% 1.7% 0.6%
1 6.4% 10.9% 9.3% 5.3% 2.3% 0.8%
2 4.2% 7.2% 6.1% 3.5% 1.5% 0.5%
3 1.8% 3.1% 2.7% 1.5% 0.7% 0.2%
4 0.6% 1.0% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 29.3% · Draw 23.6% · Away win 46.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1