Sat, Oct 18 2025 • 15:30 • Chorten Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
3.09 (league 1.69) 0.29 (league 1.23)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
81.7% 7.3% 1.7%
best score tips
3 - 0
16.7%
2 - 0
16.2%
4 - 0
12.9%
Score & goals probability table
Arka Gdynia
0 1 2 3 4 5
Jagiellonia 0 3.4% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 10.5% 3.1% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 16.2% 4.7% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 16.7% 4.9% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 12.9% 3.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 8.0% 2.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricJagielloniaArka Gdynia
Played55
Form60%47%
Attack37%16%
Defense79%63%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.43 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.87 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

84%
FT probability

2.5+

59%
FT probability

3.5+

42%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Jagiellonia Arka Gdynia
HATHAT
Played55105611
Wins80%40%60%60%0%27%
Draws0%60%30%40%17%27%
Loses20%0%10%0%83%45%

Form: Jagiellonia: LWWWWDWDDW • Arka Gdynia: LDDWLLWLDLW

League goals

Metric Jagiellonia Arka Gdynia
HATHAT
GF total13619617
GF avg2.61.21.91.20.20.6
GA total941331215
GA avg1.80.81.30.62.01.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineJagielloniaArka Gdynia
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.580%70%45%73%
1.560%40%18%27%
2.530%10%0%18%
3.510%10%0%18%
4.510%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricJagielloniaArka Gdynia
HATHAT
Clean sheets123213
Failed to score112156

Penalties

MetricJagielloniaArka Gdynia
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricJagielloniaArka Gdynia
Wins41
Draws22
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-21-22-1
Biggest losses0-44-0
Goals For5221
Goals Against4214

Model comparison

MetricJagielloniaArka Gdynia
Form56%44%
Att70%30%
Def64%36%
Poisson Distribution92%8%
H2h100%0%
Goals91%9%
Total74.6%25.4%

Advice: Winner : Jagiellonia

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.62 @ William Hill
Draw4.14 @ Pinnacle
Away5.52 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.92 @ Pinnacle
No1.92 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.88 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.99 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Jagiellonia = 3.09 (league 1.69), Arka Gdynia = 0.29 (league 1.23)

Arka Gdynia
0 1 2 3 4 5
Jagiellonia 0 3.4% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 10.5% 3.1% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 16.2% 4.7% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 16.7% 4.9% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 12.9% 3.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 8.0% 2.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 81.7% · Draw 7.3% · Away win 1.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1