Ekstraklasa — Poland
Sat, Oct 18 2025 • 12:45 • Exbud Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.64 (league 1.68) 0.46 (league 1.22)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
34.1% 43.8% 22.1%
best score tips
0 - 0
33.3%
1 - 0
21.4%
0 - 1
15.2%
Score & goals probability table
Gornik Zabrze
0 1 2 3 4 5
Korona Kielce 0 33.3% 15.2% 3.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 21.4% 9.8% 2.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 6.9% 3.1% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 1.5% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricKorona KielceGornik Zabrze
Played55
Form67%67%
Attack42%42%
Defense79%74%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.68 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.85 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

64%
FT probability

2.5+

45%
FT probability

3.5+

32%
FT probability

BTTS

60%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Korona Kielce Gornik Zabrze
HATHAT
Played56116511
Wins80%17%45%67%60%64%
Draws0%50%27%0%20%9%
Loses20%33%27%33%20%27%

Form: Korona Kielce: LLDWDWWWDWL • Gornik Zabrze: WWLLWWLWWDW

League goals

Metric Korona Kielce Gornik Zabrze
HATHAT
GF total961511718
GF avg1.81.01.41.81.41.6
GA total2810639
GA avg0.41.30.91.00.60.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineKorona KielceGornik Zabrze
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.573%55%82%64%
1.536%27%45%18%
2.527%9%36%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricKorona KielceGornik Zabrze
HATHAT
Clean sheets415134
Failed to score123202

Penalties

MetricKorona KielceGornik Zabrze
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricKorona KielceGornik Zabrze
Wins32
Draws11
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-33-00-3
Biggest losses0-23-10-12-1
Goals For3333
Goals Against2322

Model comparison

MetricKorona KielceGornik Zabrze
Form50%50%
Att50%50%
Def56%44%
Poisson Distribution58%42%
H2h15%85%
Goals33%67%
Total43.7%56.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Gornik Zabrze

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.94 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.40 @ William Hill
Away2.75 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.80 @ William Hill
No2.18 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.02 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.85 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Korona Kielce = 0.64 (league 1.68), Gornik Zabrze = 0.46 (league 1.22)

Gornik Zabrze
0 1 2 3 4 5
Korona Kielce 0 33.3% 15.2% 3.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 21.4% 9.8% 2.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 6.9% 3.1% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 1.5% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 34.1% · Draw 43.8% · Away win 22.1%

Vtot 2 , Vtod1