Sun, Oct 19 2025 • 12:45 • Stadion Poznan
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.59 (league 1.69) 1.16 (league 1.24)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
46.7% 24.8% 27.7%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.8%
1 - 0
10.1%
2 - 1
9.4%
Score & goals probability table
Pogon Szczecin
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lech Poznan 0 6.3% 7.4% 4.3% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
1 10.1% 11.8% 6.9% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2%
2 8.1% 9.4% 5.5% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1%
3 4.3% 5.0% 2.9% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
4 1.7% 2.0% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLech PoznanPogon Szczecin
Played55
Form53%40%
Attack40%35%
Defense70%65%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.67 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.27 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

90%
FT probability

2.5+

63%
FT probability

3.5+

45%
FT probability

BTTS

84%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Lech Poznan Pogon Szczecin
HATHAT
Played64105611
Wins33%75%50%60%17%36%
Draws33%25%30%0%17%9%
Loses33%0%20%40%67%55%

Form: Lech Poznan: LWWDWLWDDW • Pogon Szczecin: LWDLLWWLLLW

League goals

Metric Lech Poznan Pogon Szczecin
HATHAT
GF total991811516
GF avg1.52.31.82.20.81.5
GA total1151691120
GA avg1.81.31.61.81.81.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLech PoznanPogon Szczecin
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%80%73%91%
1.560%50%45%36%
2.510%20%18%27%
3.510%10%9%18%
4.50%0%0%9%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLech PoznanPogon Szczecin
HATHAT
Clean sheets022101
Failed to score000123

Penalties

MetricLech PoznanPogon Szczecin
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total22

Streaks

MetricLech PoznanPogon Szczecin
Wins22
Draws21
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-10-24-11-2
Biggest losses1-40-35-1
Goals For2442
Goals Against4345

Model comparison

MetricLech PoznanPogon Szczecin
Form57%43%
Att53%47%
Def54%46%
Poisson Distribution55%45%
H2h60%40%
Goals50%50%
Total54.8%45.2%

Advice: Double chance : Lech Poznan or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.75 @ William Hill
Draw4.20 @ Unibet
Away4.51 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.47 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.75 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.50 @ Bet365
No2.71 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Lech Poznan = 1.59 (league 1.69), Pogon Szczecin = 1.16 (league 1.24)

Pogon Szczecin
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lech Poznan 0 6.3% 7.4% 4.3% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
1 10.1% 11.8% 6.9% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2%
2 8.1% 9.4% 5.5% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1%
3 4.3% 5.0% 2.9% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
4 1.7% 2.0% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 46.7% · Draw 24.8% · Away win 27.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1