Fri, Oct 17 2025 • 16:00 • Motor Lublin Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.42 (league 1.69) 0.26 (league 1.24)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
67.0% 26.2% 6.5%
best score tips
1 - 0
26.5%
2 - 0
18.8%
0 - 0
18.7%
Score & goals probability table
GKS Katowice
0 1 2 3 4 5
Motor Lublin 0 18.7% 4.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 26.5% 6.8% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 18.8% 4.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 8.9% 2.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 3.2% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMotor LublinGKS Katowice
Played55
Form40%27%
Attack43%29%
Defense50%36%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.24 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.49 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

74%
FT probability

2.5+

52%
FT probability

3.5+

37%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Motor Lublin GKS Katowice
HATHAT
Played46106511
Wins25%17%20%33%0%18%
Draws75%33%50%17%20%18%
Loses0%50%30%50%80%64%

Form: Motor Lublin: WLDDLWDDDL • GKS Katowice: LDLLWLWLLDL

League goals

Metric Motor Lublin GKS Katowice
HATHAT
GF total47119211
GF avg1.01.21.11.50.41.0
GA total31316101222
GA avg0.82.21.61.72.42.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMotor LublinGKS Katowice
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.570%70%45%100%
1.530%60%27%64%
2.510%20%18%36%
3.50%10%9%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMotor LublinGKS Katowice
HATHAT
Clean sheets213000
Failed to score123336

Penalties

MetricMotor LublinGKS Katowice
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricMotor LublinGKS Katowice
Wins11
Draws31
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-00-14-1
Biggest losses4-10-33-0
Goals For2341
Goals Against2433

Model comparison

MetricMotor LublinGKS Katowice
Form60%40%
Att60%40%
Def56%44%
Poisson Distribution85%15%
H2h62%38%
Goals50%50%
Total62.2%37.8%

Advice: Double chance : Motor Lublin or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.31 @ Dafabet
Draw3.74 @ Pinnacle
Away3.06 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.69 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.29 @ SBO

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.58 @ Pinnacle
No2.45 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Motor Lublin = 1.42 (league 1.69), GKS Katowice = 0.26 (league 1.24)

GKS Katowice
0 1 2 3 4 5
Motor Lublin 0 18.7% 4.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 26.5% 6.8% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 18.8% 4.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 8.9% 2.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 3.2% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 67.0% · Draw 26.2% · Away win 6.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1