Ekstraklasa — Poland
Sun, Oct 19 2025 • 10:15 • Stadion Miejski w Gliwicach
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.32 (league 1.68) 1.22 (league 1.23)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
58.9% 19.1% 18.7%
best score tips
2 - 1
9.5%
1 - 1
8.2%
2 - 0
7.8%
Score & goals probability table
Lechia Gdansk
0 1 2 3 4 5
Piast Gliwice 0 2.9% 3.5% 2.2% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
1 6.8% 8.2% 5.0% 2.0% 0.6% 0.2%
2 7.8% 9.5% 5.8% 2.4% 0.7% 0.2%
3 6.1% 7.4% 4.5% 1.8% 0.6% 0.1%
4 3.5% 4.3% 2.6% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
5 1.6% 2.0% 1.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPiast GliwiceLechia Gdansk
Played55
Form33%47%
Attack40%35%
Defense60%55%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.67 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.69 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

93%
FT probability

2.5+

65%
FT probability

3.5+

46%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Piast Gliwice Lechia Gdansk
HATHAT
Played4595611
Wins25%0%11%40%17%27%
Draws50%40%44%40%17%27%
Loses25%60%44%20%67%45%

Form: Piast Gliwice: LLDDDDLWL • Lechia Gdansk: LLDDLWLWWLD

League goals

Metric Piast Gliwice Lechia Gdansk
HATHAT
GF total53810919
GF avg1.30.60.92.01.51.7
GA total471181826
GA avg1.01.41.21.63.02.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePiast GliwiceLechia Gdansk
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.544%78%82%82%
1.522%44%55%73%
2.511%0%27%45%
3.511%0%9%18%
4.50%0%0%9%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPiast GliwiceLechia Gdansk
HATHAT
Clean sheets112202
Failed to score235022

Penalties

MetricPiast GliwiceLechia Gdansk
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricPiast GliwiceLechia Gdansk
Wins12
Draws42
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-2—2-03-4
Biggest losses0-12-03-46-2
Goals For4234
Goals Against2246

Model comparison

MetricPiast GliwiceLechia Gdansk
Form42%58%
Att53%47%
Def53%47%
Poisson Distribution63%37%
H2h50%50%
Goals53%47%
Total52.3%47.7%

Advice: Double chance : Piast Gliwice or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.50 @ 10Bet
Draw3.50 @ Unibet
Away2.98 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.93 @ 188Bet
Under 2.52.00 @ SBO

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.74 @ 188Bet
No2.20 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Piast Gliwice = 2.32 (league 1.68), Lechia Gdansk = 1.22 (league 1.23)

Lechia Gdansk
0 1 2 3 4 5
Piast Gliwice 0 2.9% 3.5% 2.2% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
1 6.8% 8.2% 5.0% 2.0% 0.6% 0.2%
2 7.8% 9.5% 5.8% 2.4% 0.7% 0.2%
3 6.1% 7.4% 4.5% 1.8% 0.6% 0.1%
4 3.5% 4.3% 2.6% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
5 1.6% 2.0% 1.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 58.9% · Draw 19.1% · Away win 18.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1