Ekstraklasa — Poland
Sat, Oct 25 2025 • 12:45 • Stadion Miejski w Gdyni
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.00 (league 1.68) 0.29 (league 1.23)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
53.1% 36.1% 10.7%
best score tips
0 - 0
27.5%
1 - 0
27.5%
2 - 0
13.7%
Score & goals probability table
Piast Gliwice
0 1 2 3 4 5
Arka Gdynia 0 27.5% 8.0% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 27.5% 8.0% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 13.7% 4.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 4.6% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricArka GdyniaPiast Gliwice
Played55
Form27%27%
Attack12%41%
Defense35%53%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 0.47 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)11 | 2.28 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

59%
FT probability

2.5+

41%
FT probability

3.5+

29%
FT probability

BTTS

59%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Arka Gdynia Piast Gliwice
HATHAT
Played57125510
Wins60%0%25%20%0%10%
Draws40%14%25%40%40%40%
Loses0%86%50%40%60%50%

Form: Arka Gdynia: LDDWLLWLDLWL • Piast Gliwice: LLDDDDLWLL

League goals

Metric Arka Gdynia Piast Gliwice
HATHAT
GF total617639
GF avg1.20.10.61.20.60.9
GA total316196713
GA avg0.62.31.61.21.41.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineArka GdyniaPiast Gliwice
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.542%75%50%80%
1.517%33%20%50%
2.50%25%10%0%
3.50%25%10%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricArka GdyniaPiast Gliwice
HATHAT
Clean sheets213112
Failed to score167235

Penalties

MetricArka GdyniaPiast Gliwice
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricArka GdyniaPiast Gliwice
Wins11
Draws24
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-1—4-2—
Biggest losses—4-01-22-0
Goals For2142
Goals Against1422

Model comparison

MetricArka GdyniaPiast Gliwice
Form50%50%
Att22%78%
Def42%58%
Poisson Distribution76%24%
H2h25%75%
Goals33%67%
Total41.3%58.7%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Piast Gliwice

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.75 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.20 @ Dafabet
Away2.93 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.25 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.68 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.96 @ 188Bet
No1.91 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Arka Gdynia = 1.00 (league 1.68), Piast Gliwice = 0.29 (league 1.23)

Piast Gliwice
0 1 2 3 4 5
Arka Gdynia 0 27.5% 8.0% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 27.5% 8.0% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 13.7% 4.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 4.6% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 53.1% · Draw 36.1% · Away win 10.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1