Ekstraklasa — Poland
Sun, Oct 26 2025 • 16:30 • Stadion im. Ernesta Pohla
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.86 (league 1.67) 0.98 (league 1.22)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
30.6% 32.4% 37.0%
best score tips
0 - 0
15.9%
0 - 1
15.5%
1 - 0
13.7%
Score & goals probability table
Jagiellonia
0 1 2 3 4 5
Gornik Zabrze 0 15.9% 15.5% 7.6% 2.5% 0.6% 0.1%
1 13.7% 13.4% 6.6% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1%
2 5.9% 5.8% 2.8% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 1.7% 1.7% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricGornik ZabrzeJagiellonia
Played55
Form73%73%
Attack75%83%
Defense58%75%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.810 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 13 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

75%
FT probability

2.5+

53%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Gornik Zabrze Jagiellonia
HATHAT
Played66126511
Wins67%50%58%83%40%64%
Draws0%33%17%0%60%27%
Loses33%17%25%17%0%9%

Form: Gornik Zabrze: WWLLWWLWWDWD • Jagiellonia: LWWWWDWDDWW

League goals

Metric Gornik Zabrze Jagiellonia
HATHAT
GF total1181917623
GF avg1.81.31.62.81.22.1
GA total64109413
GA avg1.00.70.81.50.81.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineGornik ZabrzeJagiellonia
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.583%67%82%64%
1.542%17%64%36%
2.533%0%36%9%
3.50%0%18%9%
4.50%0%9%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricGornik ZabrzeJagiellonia
HATHAT
Clean sheets134224
Failed to score202112

Penalties

MetricGornik ZabrzeJagiellonia
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total02

Streaks

MetricGornik ZabrzeJagiellonia
Wins24
Draws12
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-34-01-2
Biggest losses0-12-10-4—
Goals For3352
Goals Against2242

Model comparison

MetricGornik ZabrzeJagiellonia
Form50%50%
Att47%53%
Def38%63%
Poisson Distribution45%55%
H2h29%71%
Goals33%67%
Total40.3%59.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Jagiellonia

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.10 @ William Hill
Draw3.60 @ Unibet
Away3.90 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.75 @ Betano
Under 2.52.19 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.62 @ William Hill
No2.43 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Gornik Zabrze = 0.86 (league 1.67), Jagiellonia = 0.98 (league 1.22)

Jagiellonia
0 1 2 3 4 5
Gornik Zabrze 0 15.9% 15.5% 7.6% 2.5% 0.6% 0.1%
1 13.7% 13.4% 6.6% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1%
2 5.9% 5.8% 2.8% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 1.7% 1.7% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 30.6% · Draw 32.4% · Away win 37.0%

Vtot 2 , Vtod1