Fri, Oct 24 2025 • 18:30 • Motor Lublin Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.57 (league 1.68) 2.34 (league 1.23)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
24.9% 19.6% 51.7%
best score tips
1 - 2
8.6%
1 - 1
7.4%
2 - 2
6.8%
Score & goals probability table
Widzew Łódź
0 1 2 3 4 5
Motor Lublin 0 2.0% 4.7% 5.5% 4.3% 2.5% 1.2%
1 3.2% 7.4% 8.6% 6.7% 3.9% 1.8%
2 2.5% 5.8% 6.8% 5.3% 3.1% 1.4%
3 1.3% 3.0% 3.5% 2.7% 1.6% 0.8%
4 0.5% 1.2% 1.4% 1.1% 0.6% 0.3%
5 0.2% 0.4% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMotor LublinWidzew Łódź
Played55
Form20%60%
Attack41%65%
Defense29%53%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.411 | 2.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)12 | 2.48 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

93%
FT probability

2.5+

65%
FT probability

3.5+

46%
FT probability

BTTS

75%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Motor Lublin Widzew Łódź
HATHAT
Played56117512
Wins20%17%18%57%20%42%
Draws60%33%45%14%0%8%
Loses20%50%36%29%80%50%

Form: Motor Lublin: WLDDLWDDDLL • Widzew Łódź: WLWDLLLWLLWW

League goals

Metric Motor Lublin Widzew Łódź
HATHAT
GF total671311920
GF avg1.21.21.21.61.81.7
GA total8132161117
GA avg1.62.21.90.92.21.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMotor LublinWidzew Łódź
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.573%73%83%75%
1.536%64%50%50%
2.59%27%25%17%
3.50%18%8%0%
4.50%9%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMotor LublinWidzew Łódź
HATHAT
Clean sheets213303
Failed to score123112

Penalties

MetricMotor LublinWidzew Łódź
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricMotor LublinWidzew Łódź
Wins11
Draws31
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-00-13-02-4
Biggest losses2-54-11-23-2
Goals For2334
Goals Against5423

Model comparison

MetricMotor LublinWidzew Łódź
Form25%75%
Att39%61%
Def40%60%
Poisson Distribution39%61%
H2h67%33%
Goals54%46%
Total44.0%56.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Widzew Łódź and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.84 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.60 @ Unibet
Away2.49 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.73 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.17 @ SBO

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.62 @ Bet365
No2.42 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Motor Lublin = 1.57 (league 1.68), Widzew Łódź = 2.34 (league 1.23)

Widzew Łódź
0 1 2 3 4 5
Motor Lublin 0 2.0% 4.7% 5.5% 4.3% 2.5% 1.2%
1 3.2% 7.4% 8.6% 6.7% 3.9% 1.8%
2 2.5% 5.8% 6.8% 5.3% 3.1% 1.4%
3 1.3% 3.0% 3.5% 2.7% 1.6% 0.8%
4 0.5% 1.2% 1.4% 1.1% 0.6% 0.3%
5 0.2% 0.4% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 24.9% · Draw 19.6% · Away win 51.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1